Michigan vs Iowa 11/5/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Michigan winning 51% of simulations, and Iowa 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Iowa wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Denard Robinson is averaging 101 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Marcus Coker is averaging 139 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA +3.5

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