Michigan State vs Wisconsin 10/27/2012

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Wisconsin is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat Michigan State. Montee Ball is projected for 120 rushing yards and a 78% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Andrew Maxwell averages 1.54 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Le\'Veon Bell averages 114 rushing yards and 0.92 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 103 yards and 0.49 TDs in losses. Wisconsin has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WIS -5.5
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