Memphis vs Marshall 11/3/2012

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Marshall is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Memphis. Rakeem Cato is averaging 306 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Kevin Grooms is projected for 51 rushing yards and a 57% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Memphis wins, Jacob Karam averages 2.15 TD passes vs 0.43 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.12 TDs to 0.55 interceptions. Jerrell Rhodes averages 56 rushing yards and 0.68 rushing TDs when Memphis wins and 50 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Marshall has a 36% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MAR -20
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