Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois 11/3/2012

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 98% of simulations over Massachusetts. Jordan Lynch is averaging 239 passing yards and 2.9 TDs per simulation and Jordan Lynch is projected for 134 rushing yards and a 88% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 2% of simulations where Massachusetts wins, Mike Wegzyn averages 1.74 TD passes vs 0.57 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.5 TDs to 0.94 interceptions. Michael Cox averages 97 rushing yards and 0.87 rushing TDs when Massachusetts wins and 76 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NOILL -36
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