LSU vs Mississippi State 9/15/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with LSU winning 58% of simulations, and Mississippi State 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. LSU commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi State wins 56% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Michael Ford is averaging 87 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Vick Ballard is averaging 78 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST +3 --- Over/Under line is 47

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