Louisiana-Monroe vs LSU 11/13/2010

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LSU is a heavy favorite winning 94% of simulations over Louisiana-Monroe. Jordan Jefferson is averaging 136 passing yards and 1.4 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 105 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6% of simulations where Louisiana-Monroe wins, Kolton Browning averages 1.36 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.5 TDs to 0.98 interceptions. Frank Goodin averages 60 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Monroe wins and 49 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. LSU has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LSU -31

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