Louisiana-Lafayette vs Mississippi 11/6/2010

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Mississippi is a heavy favorite winning 92% of simulations over Louisiana-Lafayette. Jeremiah Masoli is averaging 247 passing yards and 2.6 TDs per simulation and Jeff Scott is projected for 63 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 8% of simulations where Louisiana-Lafayette wins, Chris Masson averages 1.85 TD passes vs 0.42 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 0.58 interceptions. Aaron Spikes averages 54 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Lafayette wins and 46 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. Mississippi has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISS -27

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