Louisiana-Lafayette vs Florida Atlantic 12/1/2012

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Louisiana-Lafayette is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Florida Atlantic. Terrance Broadway is averaging 307 passing yards and 2.49 TDs per simulation and Alonzo Harris is projected for 78 rushing yards and a 53% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Florida Atlantic wins, Graham Wilbert averages 2.13 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.09 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Jonathan Wallace averages 69 rushing yards and 0.89 rushing TDs when Florida Atlantic wins and 59 yards and 0.45 TDs in losses. Louisiana-Lafayette has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time.
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