Looking at some WORLD CUP action!

[goblue12]

Don't regularly play soccer, can't name more than 3 players off the top of my head on any given squad (besides the US).

After browsing over the lines, here is what I have determined has "value". Won't be placing any wagers for 10 days (like every other square who doesn't normally touch soccer but they'll jump all over the World Cup) however this is what I lean at the moment.

3 unit leans
Chile (-164) vs. Honduras (line available at SIA)
England (-210) vs. United States (line available at BetEd)
Netherlands (-167) vs. Denmark (line available at Bodog)

2 unit leans
Greece - Korea Republic DRAW (+220) (line available at BetEd)
Serbia (+120) vs. Ghana (line available at SIA)

1 unit leans

Argentina (-200) vs. Nigeria (line available at BetEd)
Portugal (+140) vs. Cote d'Ivoire (line available at BetEd)
Slovenia - Algeria DRAW (+225) (line available at BetEd)
Slovakia (-225) vs. New Zealand (line available at BetEd)
South Africa (+187) vs. Mexico (line available at SIA)
Spain (-325) vs. Switzerland (line available at BetEd)

 

[jwblue]

I love the England wager over the US.

I think Korea Republic is going to be the surprise of this tournament.

 

[born2gamble]

Chile looks like a great bet.

 

[mclosin]

id think about chile -1 personally. they can score goals at will and i actually have honduras figured as the worst team in this tournament, not new zealand or north korea.

i think nigeria might surprise argentina and i kinda like new zealand getting 1.5. i think someone will win the greece korea game though. both teams probably will be playing for 3 points.

 

[Lakershomer]

I really like those picks..... With you on most of them except the Slovenia-Algeria draw, I'm not sure why but I like Slovenia in this group, and to put a fight up against the US for 2nd place in the gruop.

 

[rolltide]

not sure how you are figuring out value if you don't know the players and teams

your 3u leans are all massively public picks so if you are going to bet them do it now.

England has moved from -.75 to -1.25 already so you won't get lower than that -210. personally i think england will destroy the USA down right flank with Lennon/SWP/Cole so I agree with bet

Chile also moved from -.75 to -1 goal as nobody gives Honduras a chance. Concacaf last qualifiers whether CR/Hond/T&T basically never score in WC. That would be a surprise with offensive-minded Hondurans but they really are awful defensively. I give them little chance at taking a point there

Dutch have gone from -.5 to -1 goal. Not so sure on this game as Netherlands are everyone's favorites to clean up in group. I like Denmark quite a bit but without their top keeper winning this game will be tough. I like this one the least of your top 3 plays

Greece 0-0 result vs So Korea will be no surprise...no real thoughts on your other plays. I'm very anti-Argentina and that is another match that is getting hammered by public from -.75 to -1.25

from what I've seen my guess is Algeria will be 0 points and 0 goals scored...unless they can hold Slo or Usa to 0-0 and get 1 point

 

[goblue12]

not sure how you are figuring out value if you don't know the players and teams

Betting whenever a book that caters their lines to square / public influence is giving me a better (sometimes a scalp opportunity) number than Pinnacle.

 

[rolltide]

just fn with you really

seriously though if you are interested in those teams listed in 3u i believe you will have no chance at those prices if you wait for 10 days. personally i wouldn't follow every monster public team as world cups are more ripe for upsets than not

 

[mclosin]

just fn with you really

seriously though if you are interested in those teams listed in 3u i believe you will have no chance at those prices if you wait for 10 days. personally i wouldn't follow every monster public team as world cups are more ripe for upsets than not

this

 

[goblue12]

Value bets for Group winners + Outright winner

First, the group stages...

Group A:
Mexico +350 (2 units)
South Africa +700 (1 unit)
Uruguay +365 (1 unit)

Group B:
Argentina -200 (1 unit)

Group C:
England -300 (1 unit)

Group D:
Australia +850 (2 units)
Serbia +365 (2 units)
Ghana +500 (1 unit)

Group E:
Netherlands -160 (2 units)
Denmark +500 (1 unit)

Group F:
Paraguay +325 (3 units)
New Zealand +8000 (2 units)
Slovakia +750 (1 unit)

Group G:
Brazil -167 (3 units)

Group H:
Honduras +3300 (4 units)
Spain -350 (1 unit)

Outright Winner:

Argentina +700 (3 units)
Holland +1100 (1 unit)
Ivory Coast +5000 (1 unit)
Mexico +10000 (1 unit)

 

[Tinyweather]

I would love to see New Zealand or North Korea win the WC lol