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I have pit teased to +7.5 just cause that the no brainer way to go about that gm as kc not much for winning by more than a td. Actually think there is a little value on chiefs laying less than 3 tho. For all the ridiculous stuff talked about Reid no coach is better with a extra week to prepare, his teams virtually unbeatable of byes.
 

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I have pit teased to +7.5 just cause that the no brainer way to go about that gm as kc not much for winning by more than a td. Actually think there is a little value on chiefs laying less than 3 tho. For all the ridiculous stuff talked about Reid no coach is better with a extra week to prepare, his teams virtually unbeatable of byes.

Yeah, awfully tough to bet against Reid after a bye. KC has serious revenge also getting blown out in Pitt this season
 

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I have pit teased to +7.5 just cause that the no brainer way to go about that gm as kc not much for winning by more than a td. Actually think there is a little value on chiefs laying less than 3 tho. For all the ridiculous stuff talked about Reid no coach is better with a extra week to prepare, his teams virtually unbeatable of byes.

After bye this season they whipped the Raiders in Oakland 26-10
 

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This by far toughest game of weekend and honestly only one I wouldn't be surprised by either team winning. Next week I'll finally have a dog I can play as I like whoever wins to give pats all they want.
 

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Hard to bet against Reid tomorrow. If they don't turn the ball over they should win off the bye
 

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Suprised your not playing them tomorrow.

I'll be on kc. Obviously hoping for middle as I have pit teased, teasing steelers had nothing to do with my opinion on gm just playing the numbers against a team who typically doesn't blow teams out..
 

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Dallas +500 to win SB. Those are some pretty good odds. I only like Dallas against NE though. I dont like them against KC or Pitt.
 

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Here are my numbers:

New England -7 over Kansas City
New England -6 over Pittsburgh
Dallas -3.5 over Atlanta
Atlanta -3 over Green Bay

Future book odds:

AFC:
New England 0.717
Kansas City 0.140
Pittsburgh 0.143

NFC:
Dallas 0.435
Atlanta 0.437
Green Bay 0.128

Super Bowl:
New England 0.453
Kansas City 0.071
Pittsburgh 0.077
Dallas 0.177
Atlanta 0.171
Green Bay 0.050

Good luck! I hope you find these numbers useful.
 

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Here are my numbers:

New England -7 over Kansas City
New England -6 over Pittsburgh
Dallas -3.5 over Atlanta
Atlanta -3 over Green Bay

Future book odds:

AFC:
New England 0.717
Kansas City 0.140
Pittsburgh 0.143

NFC:
Dallas 0.435
Atlanta 0.437
Green Bay 0.128

Super Bowl:
New England 0.453
Kansas City 0.071
Pittsburgh 0.077
Dallas 0.177
Atlanta 0.171
Green Bay 0.050

Good luck! I hope you find these numbers useful.

One fact I have from my SB trends the last 11 years. NE will NOT cover or win the SB no matter who they play.
 

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Ppl just don't trust the rookies. I trust that oline to continue to maul teams like they been doing all year, I've never minded rookie running backs as they typically have easy transition and coming from Ohio st really don't think there much if any difference to zeke who been on plenty of big stages. Dak just a anomaly who poised beyond his years, he has dealt with the pressure of romo looming in the wings ready to take over for months and has handled that remarkably well, he was no stranger to the big stage in college either and I just don't see after how he has handled this entire season all a sudden the stage being too big. Maybe if he was facing something other than a Swiss cheese defense but that all he will see until the SB! Nothing but terrible corners being forced to cover for too long is in front of this kid and that not gonna rattle him.
 

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Ppl just don't trust the rookies. I trust that oline to continue to maul teams like they been doing all year, I've never minded rookie running backs as they typically have easy transition and coming from Ohio st really don't think there much if any difference to zeke who been on plenty of big stages. Dak just a anomaly who poised beyond his years, he has dealt with the pressure of romo looming in the wings ready to take over for months and has handled that remarkably well, he was no stranger to the big stage in college either and I just don't see after how he has handled this entire season all a sudden the stage being too big. Maybe if he was facing something other than a Swiss cheese defense but that all he will see until the SB! Nothing but terrible corners being forced to cover for too long is in front of this kid and that not gonna rattle him.

I agree with you totally, well stated. Its hard to give up 5 1/2. Seems like a big number but realistically, it really isn't
 

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I agree with you totally, well stated. Its hard to give up 5 1/2. Seems like a big number but realistically, it really isn't

Honestly I made it dal-6.5 with jordy, generally a wr wouldn't make me adjust my line and I'm hesitant to do so but then I look back at Rodgers last season without him and don't think it a stretch to say double bitches hot play coincided with right around the time jordy started looking fully back to himself. I understand why folks seem to be writing this off as jordy shouldn't be this big a deal, after all pack have no shortage of solid playmakers at Rodgers disposal. Problem is none of those other guys are capable of filling the number 1 role and so jordy being out effectively makes all these other weapons less of a factor as 1 moves into a role not equipt to play and rest suffer from no one man commanding the attention Nelson does. So everyone busy praising the red hot packers (are boys not red hot cause they cruised in meaningless week 17 game? after all they only lost 2 games to one team all season so how are packers "hotter"? ) while conveniently forgetting they already played this game and Dallas manhandled at the time what was being called a stout packers run d (I think we all know packers run d only as strong as their opponent and they no match for boys formidable rushing attack) in a game boys dominated wire to wire, in a game packers still had their number 1 rb and jordy while Dallas played without dez. So boys stronger now than they were at gb while pack no longer even possess the idea of a run gm and are missing the key cog in their passing attack. Again that gave wasn't close and now Dallas the healthier team and at home, but packers being "hot" somehow is the most important factor? Yea right I'll take Dallas laying anything under 7 all day every day knowing the list of scrubs gb been "on fire" against means jack shit here against a physically superior squad .
 

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