Lets talk about Politics......from a betting perspective of course

[MAGAking1]

What books are taking bets?

Predicit is available for US users that dont have an offshore sports account.

Any locks?

The R's are about a 10-1 favorite to control the House and about a 2-1 favorite to control the Senate as of this morning.




The final New York Times polls before the 2022 midterms give Democrats a slight edge to maintain control of the Senate. Meanwhile, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told Stephen Colbert last month she believes Democrats will “hold the House by winning more seats.”

However, Republicans believe they are gaining momentum and will win both chambers — and there are polls to back them up. “This is our year,” Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, told CNN, as he cited polls that show voters prefer GOP candidates.


With each party saying the polls are on their side, who can we trust to accurately forecast the elections? Some are looking to the betting markets, where gamblers are placing their (potentially risky) bets on who will win in next week’s midterms.


Over the past seven days, traders on PredictIt have placed bets that Senate nominee Herschel Walker will defeat incumbent Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock in Georgia, and give the odds to Republican Mehmet Oz edging out Democrat John Fetterman in the Pennsylvania Senate race.

 

[Avocado33]

Republicans over 51.5 Senate seats seems like a nice bet

Oz in Pennsylvania good value too IMO he was at like +240 not long ago

 

[MAGAking1]

Check out the odds from Pedictit

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

 

[Seymour]

All the polls show Oz and Walker trailing - yet they're favored betting wise - these fucks never will stop

 

[HacheMan]

I know that offshore books offer political betting odds but how about the legal sites?

 

[MAGAking1]

All the polls show Oz and Walker trailing - yet they're favored betting wise - these fucks never will stop

Good way to get the edge on dummies.

I have seen bets between members on other boards where the Lefties are believing the polls and taking horrible odds.

I guarantee I could find some fools to give me + money on Walker and Oz if I wanted to spend the time and energy.

LOL

 

[Tuesday]

Bet365 is good for politics and all sorts of futures...

 

[HacheMan]

Unfortunately politics in sports almost go hand in hand these days because these athletes won't keep their mouths shut nor stop making up blatant lies

 

[PatsFan1283]

I wouldn't put $ on predictIT, it is closing in Feb 2023 because they lost a trading license. I withdrew after that. Not worth the risk.

 

[PatsFan1283]

PredictIt Announcements​

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Notice to Traders - August 4th 2022​

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[Willie99]

I was looking for a bet for the GOP to win 50+ seats, couldn't find it on Predict.it

Probably wouldn't get the odds today that I would have a few months ago, if it were out there.

 

[Greenbacks]

Dr. Oz -175 x 8
Herschel Walker -150 x 4

Let's goooooooooooooooo Willie

 

[MAGAking1]

This is Herschel running over that "Preacher" like he ran over Bates.

 

[Railbird]

take every R on the board and you will do very very well. Nate Silver is a compulsive liar who lives a lie with his gay lifestyle

 

[MAGAking1]

take every R on the board and you will do very very well. Nate Silver is a compulsive liar who lives a lie with his gay lifestyle

Amazing that supposedly smart people who look at these fake polls and then compare them to sportsbooks odds

still cant put 2 and 2 together that the majority of polls is simply LEFT WING PROPAGANDA.


Not too much different from College Football polls when say an unranked team is a favorite over a Top 10 team......



I have always said that the Sportsbook odds are a better reflection of reality than those talking heads and other other forms of propaganda.

 

[HamGlaze]

Biden is already stating expect delays in election results. D’s will need the time to figure out how many fraudulent names they’ll need from voter roles not purged of dead people, people who’ve moved, or fictional names from fictional residences like empty/abandoned plots. Bringing out the same ol’ playbook but will they be abundantly successful this time around is the question. Good luck with any political offshore bets, gentlemen.

 

[d1sgr4c3]

I see plenty of right wingers touting polls as well, so you can only believe in polls when you agree with them? Lol that’s kind of cherry picking isn’t it?

 

[MAGAking1]

I see plenty of right wingers touting polls as well, so you can only believe in polls when you agree with them? Lol that’s kind of cherry picking isn’t it?

Nope

You will notice that the more legit polls tend to be in line with Sportsbook odds as they reflect ACTUAL sentiment

Most polls quoted on MSM are simply propaganda.

 

[d1sgr4c3]

So when the polls lean conservative the MSM isn’t involved??

 

[Willie99]

This is trending towards the biggest landslide in modern history

And that's not a good thing, that means people are hurting