Random Lottery?
The NHL was on strike for a year. They did a random lottery of all teams. Pitt got the number 1 pick.
The player they took- Sid the Kid
It was a weight lottery though. They took some time and thought out a formula based on records or playoff berths in the previous couple of seasons
some teams had 3 balls in play some teams had 2 some teams had 1
I rmember the Pens were one of 4 teams that had 3 balls. I know the Pens still had well less than a 10% chance of winning though.
I'd say smart NFL minds could come up with something similar but much better. A team like the Jets really should have a better than 50% chance of winning.
take this year's record, last 2-3 years record, this years point differentials ect into account