Kentucky vs Missouri 10/27/2012

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Missouri is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat Kentucky. Kendial Lawrence is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Kentucky wins, Jalen Whitlow averages 1.65 TD passes vs 0.82 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.86 TDs to 1 interceptions. Raymond Sanders averages 67 rushing yards and 0.88 rushing TDs when Kentucky wins and 59 yards and 0.43 TDs in losses. Missouri has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time.
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