Kent State vs Buffalo 9/19/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Kent State winning 53% of simulations, and Buffalo 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Kent State commits fewer turnovers in 55% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Buffalo wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trayion Durham is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Branden Oliver is averaging 120 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF -2.5

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