Keep it simple, stupid: Villes CBB picks

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Ville.........with you on Wash. St...........BOL with all your action tonight...........indy
 

your worst nightmare
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Last play for the night:

Washington State -7.5 @ Idaho: Washington state gets the edge in this one - mainly because of their ability to take care of business against weaker opponents. They are 4-1 ATS so far, and helped me cash against gonzaga a couple games back. Lets look at their last four outcomes: Win vs. Portland State (24), loss vs zaga (9), Win vs. Texas Southern (12), & Win vs. CSU LA (17). Idaho is a terrible 1-17 the last 18 matchups against WSU and i dont think anything will change tonight. With an Average around 76 points, they look to beat the 5-5 vandals by 10 or more on the road tonight. This play wasnt so much about how good WSU is, but the poor recent play of ID - lets look at their last four games: loss at USC (19), loss vs Ark Little rock (10), Win vs UC Bakersfield (4), and loss vs. Northern Illinois (6). Its also important to note that they have also lost by 17 to samford, and two of their victories were by 6 or less against competition worse than WSU. Better players, coaches, schedule, experience, and in game management is what made the choice a little bit easier for me. ID is only averaging 63, while giving up 64 - a differential of -1. I believe this could be a 75 to 60 finish which might be a decent under bet. The vandals are 0-3 ATS in their recent games, i would say that has alot to do with their scoring or lack there of. Neither teams have any injuries to talk about, and WSU i really think will take care of business!

Goodluck tonight boys!!!!!!


-ville
Appreciate the in-depth analysis on this game! I believe you've handicapped this one correctly! Best of luck! :toast:
 

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Tonight: 2-1 so far - waiting on washington state to end. Hope they can pull it together in the 2H. That Penn state cover and over couldnt have been more perfect tonight! love it. There isnt much to choose from tomorrow, thinking about just taking the night off.

Hope yall won some $ tonight

-ville
 
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Nice call on Penn ville. I should have tailed. Wazzu screwed me in the 1st half. Took them again in second. Taking Friday night off most likely as well. Good luck.
 

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Nice call on Penn ville. I should have tailed. Wazzu screwed me in the 1st half. Took them again in second. Taking Friday night off most likely as well. Good luck.

Money - alot of folks on canisius tonight, almost fell for the capper trap! had to stay true to the big program at home..lots of value in playing for the home crowd! GL to you as well,
 
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That was my take on the game as well. Just listened too much to others. Made it a no-play :>( Should have stuck to my guns and took the big college at home. Oh well. See you Saturday.
 

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Nice hit on Penn St. They were my only lean on the slate. I should have played them.
 

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That was my take on the game as well. Just listened too much to others. Made it a no-play :>( Should have stuck to my guns and took the big college at home. Oh well. See you Saturday.

Nice hit on Penn St. They were my only lean on the slate. I should have played them.

Thanks United - Sometimes when you start reading into everything it makes you second guess it!

Season Record: 20-18

Tonight: 2-2

So ive got 2 leans for tomorrow, not sure if im gonna play them or not:

Pitt -18 vs. Eastern Wash and Over 152.5: At home, at home, and at home. Big school vs a decent opponent as home seems like an easy play at first glance. Pitt has the players, coaches, location, atmosphere, and SOS. Should be an easy play (might end up that way), but then i look at an eastern washington ball club that went to davidson and only lost by 10 - they are hungry for a W against a big program and has the capability of doing so. Maybe a 1H play would be best? not sure.

As far as the total goes, im heavily leaning on the over here. Pitts AVG is around 86-87 and EW is around 83. Even when eastern wash lost to davidson the total was 162, and i feel like it would be in the same ball park tomorrow @ pitt. Something like 88-73 makes sense to me. EW has scored 126 in a game this season, so they obviously have the ability to score alot of points, quickly. I think the emotional factor will play a big role in this game and keep it close for one half, then pitt will take it away in the second. The only way EW will keep it close is scoring, not defense.

Will post final plays, if any tomorrow

-ville
 

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Only one play for tonight couldnt resist lol :toast:

Pit/EW Over 74 1H


I typically try to stay away from half plays but tonight i see the most value in the total during the first half of this game. Like stated above both teams are averaging about 85 points and i think EW will come out hot and try to keep it close on the road. Pitt should win this game by double digits, but i cannot find any good reason to pull the trigger on the spread, as i can see both outcomes happening - it really just depends on which eastern washington team shows up. I envision the halftime score being something like 45-37 pitt. Goodluck yall

-ville
 

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Season record: 20-19

Tonights record: 0-1

Should have taken it off lol

leans for tomorrow:

Louisville -18: yes it's a homer pick but they are hot right now and at home.

Northeastern -1: lost their last two away games, they're frustrated and at home again finally.

UNC -6: the heels are a lot better than Texas, should be close in the 1H and UNC outta run away with it.

Colorado -5.5: at home and have been hot lately, beating CSU on the road.

Minnesota +3: at home vs a struggling OK St team, have lost a few lately and need a big win.

Goodluck

-ville
 

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Last lean for tomorrow:

EKU @ Marshall +1.5: I can't wrap my head around why this line is for Marshall. They are 1-6 and have lost to some really bad teams, if you watched eastern against UK the other night you saw that they have the ability to compete among the nations best teams. Maybe I'm missing something here but I can see the colonels winning by 12
 

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Good luck Ville

Minny game on a neutral court in Sioux, SD

United thanks for the info - I'm not going to play them. Thought they were at home. Goodluck to you today.

That being said I'm going to play all of these except minnesota. There are some notable line changes, but I still like them:

Uofl -21

NE -1.5

UNC -7

Colorado -5

EKU same as yesterday.

Also going to add in:

Maryland -32: MD eastern shore is terrible. Michigan state beat them by 43 last game.

Michigan State -9.5: Florida just isn't that impressive to me. Miami beat them by 11 the previous game. MSU is solid all around, and even more solid at home.

Goodluck boys!!!

-ville
 

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Also playing

Kansas -13 vs Oregon State: one of the hardest places in the nation to play. Oregon state is 6-1 but their record doesn't show how much they have struggled against weak teams. Kansas is solid. Like them by 18-19 today.
 

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