Season Record: 13-14
2-2 on the day.
One play for tonight:
Buffalo +22.5 vs. Iowa State: the value of playing quality teams on the road has proven to be beneficial for teams trying to figure out what they need to work on to become better. Buffalo went to Duke on Saturday and lost by 23. Confidence was most likely built even though they lost, this will be the second top 10 matchup Buf faces in 2 days. They havent had a good season thus far, and their last four games played out as such: loss @ duke (23), loss v St. Bonaventure (2), W vs. Canisius (2), W vs. Vermont (6). Close games have been the story so far for the bulls, they understand how to get victories in close games, which shows their abaility to handle high pressure situations. Iowa State has been impressive so far this year, but they havent really played quality teams that have tested them. I think they will lack motivation and overlook buffalo tonight, their last four games played out like this: W vs. North Dakota St (20), W @ Illinois (11) W vs VT (22), W vs. Chattanooga (20), as you can see they havent reached the 22.5 that vegas is calling for, and because buffalo's last game has prepared them for this type of environment, they will hold it under 20 tonight.
-ville
2-2 on the day.
One play for tonight:
Buffalo +22.5 vs. Iowa State: the value of playing quality teams on the road has proven to be beneficial for teams trying to figure out what they need to work on to become better. Buffalo went to Duke on Saturday and lost by 23. Confidence was most likely built even though they lost, this will be the second top 10 matchup Buf faces in 2 days. They havent had a good season thus far, and their last four games played out as such: loss @ duke (23), loss v St. Bonaventure (2), W vs. Canisius (2), W vs. Vermont (6). Close games have been the story so far for the bulls, they understand how to get victories in close games, which shows their abaility to handle high pressure situations. Iowa State has been impressive so far this year, but they havent really played quality teams that have tested them. I think they will lack motivation and overlook buffalo tonight, their last four games played out like this: W vs. North Dakota St (20), W @ Illinois (11) W vs VT (22), W vs. Chattanooga (20), as you can see they havent reached the 22.5 that vegas is calling for, and because buffalo's last game has prepared them for this type of environment, they will hold it under 20 tonight.
-ville
Season Record 14-14 (.500)
Looking to get above 500 tonight! After doing my research and looking at all the games, theres a few i like:
Texas Arlington -17.5 vs. Bradley: This will be the third time ive put money on or against UTA so far this season. Weve established based upon previous write ups that they are a solid team who can compete against some of the top programs in the country. They have the advantage in players, coaches, atmosphere, experience, and in game management. Looks like late money is going to bradley, and i believe that is based upon the lack of motivation that UTA may have for this game. I dont believe that will be a problem, they just played an away game and are happy to be back home in game 1 of 4 in the college park center. Their ability to compete against quality opponents will guide them to victory tonight. The last four games for UTA look like: Win @ UTEP (14), Win vs. North Texas (23), loss @ texas (7), and Win @ rice (18). Bradley isnt as bad as their record says (1-8) - they have kept most games close, but they can never figure out a way to win. I believe that has alot to do with experience, coaching, and the will to win. They have lost against some pretty poor competition, their last four games look like: loss vs North Dakota (6), their worst loss @ deleware (23), loss vs. Mississippi (13), and loss vs New Orleans (13). Its important to note that have played UVA and Arizona and lost by 25 or more when facing quality opponents. UTA is quality, they are at home, and IMO will win by 20 or more tonight.
Notre Dame -8 vs Stony Brook: The fighting Irish have had a dissapointing start to the season, especially if you ask their fans. Their two loses came against decent teams, and each one came down to the last possession. ND has the edge tonight in players, coaching, emotion, location of the game, in game management, and SOS. Three points seperates them from being undefeated, as a player that would put a fire under my butt and keep me motivated until the next prime time game. Their last four games look like this: win @ illinois (5), loss vs. Alabama (1), win @ iowa (6), and loss @ monmouth (2). Their opponent has had an easy road so far, and still lost 2 of their 6 games. The x-factor for me, was when SB has played any team with a good coach and moderate experience they have lost. Their last four games look like this: Win vs. Princeton (14), Win vs Farmingdale St (49), Win @ loyola MD (13), loss @ WKU (1). Another notable game was the 7 point loss @ vandy on November 19th . I believe the motivated irish will knock of stony brook by 10 or more tonight and take care of business.
Maryland -2 @ Uconn: The terps have played well all season and proved they deserve to be in the top 10, with their only loss coming @ UNC against a motivation tar heels team. The 2 point line makes this game almost a pickem, which makes this game mouth watering for bettors looking for value. I believe the 1H of this game will be won by the huskies but in the end will be won by the better team (MD), the last four games for the terps look like: Win vs. St Francis PA (41), loss @ UNC (8), win @ cleveland st (17), and win @ Rhode Island (23). MD has the advantage in SOS, players, coaches, and in game management. Their opponent Uconn has played a decent schedule and their two loses have come on the road against two quality teams. Their last four games look like: Win vs Sacred Heart (33), loss @ gonzaga (3), loss at syracuse (3), and a solid win vs Michigan (14). My x-factor is the fact that the huskies havent played a team the caliber of maryland. Uconn has been a very good program over the past 10 years and their pride & motivation should not be overlooked tonight. The atmosphere will give an advantage to Uconn, but the emotional/motivational factor plays into MD's hand. I believe that the loss @ UNC is still bothering the team, and this a perfect time to prove to the nation why they were a top 5 team. This should be a close game, but two points is safe enough for me to put money on, as i think they will win by 7-8 points at madison square.
A strong lean for me was the over (142) on the ND/Stony Brook game.
Goodluck tonight fellas
-ville
Looking to get above 500 tonight! After doing my research and looking at all the games, theres a few i like:
Texas Arlington -17.5 vs. Bradley: This will be the third time ive put money on or against UTA so far this season. Weve established based upon previous write ups that they are a solid team who can compete against some of the top programs in the country. They have the advantage in players, coaches, atmosphere, experience, and in game management. Looks like late money is going to bradley, and i believe that is based upon the lack of motivation that UTA may have for this game. I dont believe that will be a problem, they just played an away game and are happy to be back home in game 1 of 4 in the college park center. Their ability to compete against quality opponents will guide them to victory tonight. The last four games for UTA look like: Win @ UTEP (14), Win vs. North Texas (23), loss @ texas (7), and Win @ rice (18). Bradley isnt as bad as their record says (1-8) - they have kept most games close, but they can never figure out a way to win. I believe that has alot to do with experience, coaching, and the will to win. They have lost against some pretty poor competition, their last four games look like: loss vs North Dakota (6), their worst loss @ deleware (23), loss vs. Mississippi (13), and loss vs New Orleans (13). Its important to note that have played UVA and Arizona and lost by 25 or more when facing quality opponents. UTA is quality, they are at home, and IMO will win by 20 or more tonight.
Notre Dame -8 vs Stony Brook: The fighting Irish have had a dissapointing start to the season, especially if you ask their fans. Their two loses came against decent teams, and each one came down to the last possession. ND has the edge tonight in players, coaching, emotion, location of the game, in game management, and SOS. Three points seperates them from being undefeated, as a player that would put a fire under my butt and keep me motivated until the next prime time game. Their last four games look like this: win @ illinois (5), loss vs. Alabama (1), win @ iowa (6), and loss @ monmouth (2). Their opponent has had an easy road so far, and still lost 2 of their 6 games. The x-factor for me, was when SB has played any team with a good coach and moderate experience they have lost. Their last four games look like this: Win vs. Princeton (14), Win vs Farmingdale St (49), Win @ loyola MD (13), loss @ WKU (1). Another notable game was the 7 point loss @ vandy on November 19th . I believe the motivated irish will knock of stony brook by 10 or more tonight and take care of business.
Maryland -2 @ Uconn: The terps have played well all season and proved they deserve to be in the top 10, with their only loss coming @ UNC against a motivation tar heels team. The 2 point line makes this game almost a pickem, which makes this game mouth watering for bettors looking for value. I believe the 1H of this game will be won by the huskies but in the end will be won by the better team (MD), the last four games for the terps look like: Win vs. St Francis PA (41), loss @ UNC (8), win @ cleveland st (17), and win @ Rhode Island (23). MD has the advantage in SOS, players, coaches, and in game management. Their opponent Uconn has played a decent schedule and their two loses have come on the road against two quality teams. Their last four games look like: Win vs Sacred Heart (33), loss @ gonzaga (3), loss at syracuse (3), and a solid win vs Michigan (14). My x-factor is the fact that the huskies havent played a team the caliber of maryland. Uconn has been a very good program over the past 10 years and their pride & motivation should not be overlooked tonight. The atmosphere will give an advantage to Uconn, but the emotional/motivational factor plays into MD's hand. I believe that the loss @ UNC is still bothering the team, and this a perfect time to prove to the nation why they were a top 5 team. This should be a close game, but two points is safe enough for me to put money on, as i think they will win by 7-8 points at madison square.
A strong lean for me was the over (142) on the ND/Stony Brook game.
Goodluck tonight fellas
-ville
Season Record 17-14
Plays for tonight -
St Johns -9 vs. Niagara: STJ has been solid at home all season, winning all 4 games. They have also played much better competition than their opponent, which has proven to hold tons of value for in game management. They have the advantage in players, coaching, experience, and location of game. Another outside factor that i considered was that they were on the road for pretty much 2 weeks straight, and this is their second home game in a row afterwards. Their last four games look like: Win vs St Francis NY (7), loss @ fordham (13), win @ chaminade (7), and loss @ indiana (10). Its also important to note they have played @ vandy, which helps their SOS for tonights game. Niagara on the other hand has not faired well so far in their 9 games, with a record of 3-6. The only teams they have won against were worse than STJ by quite a bit IMO. Their last four games are as follows: Loss vs Monmouth (14), Win vs Quinnipac (4), loss vs youngstown st (18), and a loss @ hartford (4). I believe that STJ will win this game by 14-15 points at home.
EKU +24.5 @ UK: Motivation was the key factor in this play, along with UK struggling & being very young in general. Let me state by saying that the wildcats will win this game by double digits, but 25 or more is too many for this in state matchup. I Actually attended EKU and somewhat keep up with them, they are keeping games close with their outside shooting game. They recently lost to WKU on a last second shot, and that is still bothering them as a team. This is a great opportunity to prove they have a good program. The colonels can really score some points, and average around 85-86 points a game. UK is still (as usual) learning their strengths and weaknesses and is no where as good as the 38-1 team that fell short last year. UK has every advantage for this game except the large spread that vegas has put out. UK should win this game by 18-19 points.
Nebraska +5 @ Creighton: The cornhuskers have played quality teams all season and have faced opponents better than creighton. Lets dive right into their last four games to see: Win vs Abilene CHristian (10), loss vs Miami (5), Win @ Tennessee (11), Loss @ Cinci (4). Its also important to note that they faced villanova early in their schedule, and are much improved since then. They are playing good teams close and seem to be continuously competitive in nearly every game they lost minus nova. Creighton on the other hand recently lost to Loyola (IL) by 3, and zona st by 2. They have beaten Western Illinois and Massachusetts by 20 or more. I believe the most indicating loss of the season was a 21 point defeat @ indiana, who has proven to be disappointing once again. The only adavantage they have is playing at home tonight, but i believe the team who has faced more quality opponents and understands how to handle high pressure situations will win by 6.
goodluck tonight
-ville
Plays for tonight -
St Johns -9 vs. Niagara: STJ has been solid at home all season, winning all 4 games. They have also played much better competition than their opponent, which has proven to hold tons of value for in game management. They have the advantage in players, coaching, experience, and location of game. Another outside factor that i considered was that they were on the road for pretty much 2 weeks straight, and this is their second home game in a row afterwards. Their last four games look like: Win vs St Francis NY (7), loss @ fordham (13), win @ chaminade (7), and loss @ indiana (10). Its also important to note they have played @ vandy, which helps their SOS for tonights game. Niagara on the other hand has not faired well so far in their 9 games, with a record of 3-6. The only teams they have won against were worse than STJ by quite a bit IMO. Their last four games are as follows: Loss vs Monmouth (14), Win vs Quinnipac (4), loss vs youngstown st (18), and a loss @ hartford (4). I believe that STJ will win this game by 14-15 points at home.
EKU +24.5 @ UK: Motivation was the key factor in this play, along with UK struggling & being very young in general. Let me state by saying that the wildcats will win this game by double digits, but 25 or more is too many for this in state matchup. I Actually attended EKU and somewhat keep up with them, they are keeping games close with their outside shooting game. They recently lost to WKU on a last second shot, and that is still bothering them as a team. This is a great opportunity to prove they have a good program. The colonels can really score some points, and average around 85-86 points a game. UK is still (as usual) learning their strengths and weaknesses and is no where as good as the 38-1 team that fell short last year. UK has every advantage for this game except the large spread that vegas has put out. UK should win this game by 18-19 points.
Nebraska +5 @ Creighton: The cornhuskers have played quality teams all season and have faced opponents better than creighton. Lets dive right into their last four games to see: Win vs Abilene CHristian (10), loss vs Miami (5), Win @ Tennessee (11), Loss @ Cinci (4). Its also important to note that they faced villanova early in their schedule, and are much improved since then. They are playing good teams close and seem to be continuously competitive in nearly every game they lost minus nova. Creighton on the other hand recently lost to Loyola (IL) by 3, and zona st by 2. They have beaten Western Illinois and Massachusetts by 20 or more. I believe the most indicating loss of the season was a 21 point defeat @ indiana, who has proven to be disappointing once again. The only adavantage they have is playing at home tonight, but i believe the team who has faced more quality opponents and understands how to handle high pressure situations will win by 6.
goodluck tonight
-ville
Season record 18-16
last night: 1-2
Tonight I like:
Iowa State -7.5 vs. Iowa: I really like the undefeated cyclones tonight @ home. They are a solid team that has beaten quality teams like colorado, illinois, virginia tech, and a pretty decent chattanooga team by 20 points. The line has been moving a little bit towards iowa, but as of 7:58am money has been put on iowa state - the cyclones are averaging 86 points a game, while only allowing 66 for a differential of 20. Pretty good to me! THe hawkeyes on the other hand have lost two games - one to dayton (5) and the other at home to ND (6). The players, emotion, atmosphere, SOS, and recent game performance has persuaded me to take side with the home team tonight. This rivalry will be a close game in the 1H and iowa may even take a small lead in order to prove something. Ive recently decided that 95% of the time the team is supposed to win, will win ESPECIALLY at home. Iowa State is 3-1-1 ATS this season and i believe it will go to 4-1-1 tonight. The value of location cannot be overlooked. Below is a chart i found that makes the team differences more clear:
last night: 1-2
Tonight I like:
Iowa State -7.5 vs. Iowa: I really like the undefeated cyclones tonight @ home. They are a solid team that has beaten quality teams like colorado, illinois, virginia tech, and a pretty decent chattanooga team by 20 points. The line has been moving a little bit towards iowa, but as of 7:58am money has been put on iowa state - the cyclones are averaging 86 points a game, while only allowing 66 for a differential of 20. Pretty good to me! THe hawkeyes on the other hand have lost two games - one to dayton (5) and the other at home to ND (6). The players, emotion, atmosphere, SOS, and recent game performance has persuaded me to take side with the home team tonight. This rivalry will be a close game in the 1H and iowa may even take a small lead in order to prove something. Ive recently decided that 95% of the time the team is supposed to win, will win ESPECIALLY at home. Iowa State is 3-1-1 ATS this season and i believe it will go to 4-1-1 tonight. The value of location cannot be overlooked. Below is a chart i found that makes the team differences more clear:
Alright two more plays for tonight:
Penn State -5 vs Canisius: & Over 145.5: I always like a big program team facing a smaller private school that has been struggling against poor quality teams so far during the season - Canisius has not won a game on the road so far during their 3-4 season - and i dont think that changes tonight. Penn State has faced more quality teams like BC & VMI that have a well known program and where the coaching is better. The nittany lions are not a solid offensive team like their opponent, but they are also playing better competition. The players, coaching, location of the game, and SOS all go to PSU - i like that combination. I believe this will be a close game until the end, which makes it a perfect candiate for an over play - Cans is scoring an AVG of nearly 88 while giving up around 84 points. In order for PSU to win the game (which i think they will) will need to score more than their low AVG of 66. The total has gone over in Canisius last 4 of 5 games and i think it will be the same story tonight.
gooodluck
-ville
Penn State -5 vs Canisius: & Over 145.5: I always like a big program team facing a smaller private school that has been struggling against poor quality teams so far during the season - Canisius has not won a game on the road so far during their 3-4 season - and i dont think that changes tonight. Penn State has faced more quality teams like BC & VMI that have a well known program and where the coaching is better. The nittany lions are not a solid offensive team like their opponent, but they are also playing better competition. The players, coaching, location of the game, and SOS all go to PSU - i like that combination. I believe this will be a close game until the end, which makes it a perfect candiate for an over play - Cans is scoring an AVG of nearly 88 while giving up around 84 points. In order for PSU to win the game (which i think they will) will need to score more than their low AVG of 66. The total has gone over in Canisius last 4 of 5 games and i think it will be the same story tonight.
gooodluck
-ville
Last play for the night:
Washington State -7.5 @ Idaho: Washington state gets the edge in this one - mainly because of their ability to take care of business against weaker opponents. They are 4-1 ATS so far, and helped me cash against gonzaga a couple games back. Lets look at their last four outcomes: Win vs. Portland State (24), loss vs zaga (9), Win vs. Texas Southern (12), & Win vs. CSU LA (17). Idaho is a terrible 1-17 the last 18 matchups against WSU and i dont think anything will change tonight. With an Average around 76 points, they look to beat the 5-5 vandals by 10 or more on the road tonight. This play wasnt so much about how good WSU is, but the poor recent play of ID - lets look at their last four games: loss at USC (19), loss vs Ark Little rock (10), Win vs UC Bakersfield (4), and loss vs. Northern Illinois (6). Its also important to note that they have also lost by 17 to samford, and two of their victories were by 6 or less against competition worse than WSU. Better players, coaches, schedule, experience, and in game management is what made the choice a little bit easier for me. ID is only averaging 63, while giving up 64 - a differential of -1. I believe this could be a 75 to 60 finish which might be a decent under bet. The vandals are 0-3 ATS in their recent games, i would say that has alot to do with their scoring or lack there of. Neither teams have any injuries to talk about, and WSU i really think will take care of business!
Goodluck tonight boys!!!!!!
-ville
Washington State -7.5 @ Idaho: Washington state gets the edge in this one - mainly because of their ability to take care of business against weaker opponents. They are 4-1 ATS so far, and helped me cash against gonzaga a couple games back. Lets look at their last four outcomes: Win vs. Portland State (24), loss vs zaga (9), Win vs. Texas Southern (12), & Win vs. CSU LA (17). Idaho is a terrible 1-17 the last 18 matchups against WSU and i dont think anything will change tonight. With an Average around 76 points, they look to beat the 5-5 vandals by 10 or more on the road tonight. This play wasnt so much about how good WSU is, but the poor recent play of ID - lets look at their last four games: loss at USC (19), loss vs Ark Little rock (10), Win vs UC Bakersfield (4), and loss vs. Northern Illinois (6). Its also important to note that they have also lost by 17 to samford, and two of their victories were by 6 or less against competition worse than WSU. Better players, coaches, schedule, experience, and in game management is what made the choice a little bit easier for me. ID is only averaging 63, while giving up 64 - a differential of -1. I believe this could be a 75 to 60 finish which might be a decent under bet. The vandals are 0-3 ATS in their recent games, i would say that has alot to do with their scoring or lack there of. Neither teams have any injuries to talk about, and WSU i really think will take care of business!
Goodluck tonight boys!!!!!!
-ville
