Kansas vs Northern Illinois 9/22/2012

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Kansas. Jordan Lynch is averaging 248 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Jordan Lynch is projected for 111 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Kansas wins, Dayne Crist averages 1.27 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.67 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Taylor Cox averages 98 rushing yards and 1.08 rushing TDs when Kansas wins and 85 yards and 0.6 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NOILL -10

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