Jupiler League Week 14 [16-8-3 |+22.788 units | +25.32% ROI]

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Beware The Belgian
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Oct 30, 2006
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"Jupiler League Week 15"

Looking over this weeks matches at the moment, hope to be able to post a play later on.

Season 07/08 Record so far:
Picks = 27
Won / Lost / Push = 16 / 8 / 3 (66.6 % Winners)
Units Bet = 90 units
Units Return = 112.788 units
Average Stake = 3.30 units
Profit = + 22.788 Units
ROI = +25.32 %

Jupiler League Betting Record Week 14: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 13: 0-0-0, +0,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 12: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 11: 1-0-0,+ 4,115 Units

Jupiler League Betting Record Week 10: 1-0-1,+ 1,640 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 09: 1-1-0,+ 1,290 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 08: 0-1-1,- 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 07: 2-0-0,+ 4,947 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 06: 2-1-0,+ 4,634 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 05: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 04: 2-1-0, + 1,983 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 03: 2-0-0, + 8,800 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 02: 3-1-0, + 3,665 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 01: 2-0-1, + 3,714 Units
-> http://belgianleague.blogabet.com
 

Beware The Belgian
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I might have a last minute bet today (match starts in a bit more then 2 hours). depending on weater conditions
 

Beware The Belgian
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Pick 27: Cercle Brugge vs Moeskroen (Over 2.5) (3 Units) @ 2.020
(pinnacle)

This is the bet I placed last night, odds have gone up to 2.02 since there was heavy rain in belgium today. Don't think it will be that much of a factor since the pitch of Brugge should be able to handle the water.

Match: Cercle Brugge vs Moeskroen
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.92 (SBO)
Stake: 3/10 (Normal Bet)

I once again see some reasons why the value is on the over in this match. Both are offensive minded teams that play their own game.
Both are teams that are placed much higer then expected in the beginning of the season and there is on both sides no pressure at all to win so they are capable to play without any concerns.
Also both lost points last week in a brutal way. 2 penaltys were taken from cercle and on offside goal for the opponent counted. Moeskroen outplayed their opponent druing the match and was able to create quite a lot of chances in a match that ended 1-1 with a very late goal for Brussels. So this week they should be exta motivated to set things straight. When looking at some statistics it is noticable that both these teams have quite some high scoring matches against the more offensive minded teams in the league. Cercle is playing with their full squad and has no injury problems. Moeskroen has not been as impressive as druing the start of the season and has got 1 real concern with Tomou (their top scorer) who's injured. They still should have enough offensive options with Custovic, Nicoise & Coto. Once again just like in the Cercle cup match there is a huge difference in odds (1.70 vs 1.92) between the asians & Unibet who can be concidered as the main reference for Belgian odds. I expect Cercle to win this match and Moeskroen also being able to score (56% for Over 2.5)

So 3/10 On Cercle Brugge vs Moeskroen Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.92 (SBO) -> 2.02 now at pinnacle
 

Beware The Belgian
Joined
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Pick 28: Cercle Brugge vs Moeskroen (Over 2.5) (3 Units) @ 2.020 -->SCORE 3 - 0 [WON + 3.060 Units]

:103631605

Season 07/08 Updated Record:
Picks = 28
Won / Lost / Push = 17 / 8 / 3 (68 % Winners)
Units Bet = 93 units
Units Return = 118.848 units
Average Stake = 3.30 units
Profit = + 25.848 Units
ROI = +27.79 %

Jupiler League Betting Record Week 15: 1-0-0,+ 3,060 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 14: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 13: 0-0-0, +0,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 12: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 11: 1-0-0,+ 4,115 Units

Jupiler League Betting Record Week 10: 1-0-1,+ 1,640 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 09: 1-1-0,+ 1,290 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 08: 0-1-1,- 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 07: 2-0-0,+ 4,947 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 06: 2-1-0,+ 4,634 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 05: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 04: 2-1-0, + 1,983 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 03: 2-0-0, + 8,800 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 02: 3-1-0, + 3,665 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 01: 2-0-1, + 3,714 Units
-> http://belgianleague.blogabet.com
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
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Much Thanks, Mr. C

Got little nervous at the end, but the result came through.

MA
 

Beware The Belgian
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It should have been at least a 4-0 score at HT, Moeskroen wasn't really able to push the 2nd half but the 3th goal came trough eventually from Cercle.
 

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