Marlins -118: 1.18 units to win 1. The Marlins are rolling and I'll continue to back them for the right price until they falter. Ohlendorf isn't as bad as his numbers indicate, but he hasn't been able to keep teams off the bases yet this year and he'll be facing a smoking hot offense that never gives up.
Braves -1.5, +115: 1 unit to win 1.1. After facing a hot Marlins offense in a tough spot, Lowe will have a much easier matchup tonight against a Nats team that is dealing with all sorts of issues. Zimmerman is a solid prospect but the Braves finally found their bats yesterday and should keep it going with Chipper and Escobar in the lineup. Plus, I just can't see Acta leaving him in for more than 6 innings or so. The ML is a decent price at -137 but I'm going to roll with the RL tonight as I don't think this one stays close. I don't exactly know what to expect from Washington's bullpen, but I don't think it will be pretty.
Looking to add a couple of dogs but I'll wait and see if I can get a better price.
Braves -1.5, +115: 1 unit to win 1.1. After facing a hot Marlins offense in a tough spot, Lowe will have a much easier matchup tonight against a Nats team that is dealing with all sorts of issues. Zimmerman is a solid prospect but the Braves finally found their bats yesterday and should keep it going with Chipper and Escobar in the lineup. Plus, I just can't see Acta leaving him in for more than 6 innings or so. The ML is a decent price at -137 but I'm going to roll with the RL tonight as I don't think this one stays close. I don't exactly know what to expect from Washington's bullpen, but I don't think it will be pretty.
Looking to add a couple of dogs but I'll wait and see if I can get a better price.
I expect that these lines may get slightly better, but I'm not sure I'll be around later in the day.
Athletics +180: 1 unit to win 1.8. The Yankees are playing with zero confidence right now and can absolutely lose on any given night, even at home.
Padres +142: 1 unit to win 1.42. The Pads are playing like one of the best teams in baseball right now and the Phils simply haven't been able to get their act together yet. That and a +142 line makes for a good combination.
Rockies +108: 1 unit to win 1.08. This is basically a fade of Garland. Neither team has shown much life yet this year but I think the Rockies get the clear pitching edge in this matchup and should be able to start putting some hits together against Garland.
BOL to everyone tonight. :toast:
Athletics +180: 1 unit to win 1.8. The Yankees are playing with zero confidence right now and can absolutely lose on any given night, even at home.
Padres +142: 1 unit to win 1.42. The Pads are playing like one of the best teams in baseball right now and the Phils simply haven't been able to get their act together yet. That and a +142 line makes for a good combination.
Rockies +108: 1 unit to win 1.08. This is basically a fade of Garland. Neither team has shown much life yet this year but I think the Rockies get the clear pitching edge in this matchup and should be able to start putting some hits together against Garland.
BOL to everyone tonight. :toast:
Season Record:
2 Unit Plays: 2-0 for +4 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 27-30-1 for -1.49 units.
Braves -120: 1.2 units to win 1.
Marlins -136: 1.36 units to win 1.
Padres -123: 2.46 units to win 2.
Cardinals -109: 2.18 units to win 2 (added .5 units).
I'm looking pretty strongly at some of the big dogs on tonight's card but haven't pulled the trigger yet and I'm not sure if I will. I'll be at the Sox game tonight (weather is supposed to hold off) so if I don't get back online, BOL to everyone tonight.
2 Unit Plays: 2-0 for +4 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 27-30-1 for -1.49 units.
Braves -120: 1.2 units to win 1.
Marlins -136: 1.36 units to win 1.
Padres -123: 2.46 units to win 2.
Cardinals -109: 2.18 units to win 2 (added .5 units).
I'm looking pretty strongly at some of the big dogs on tonight's card but haven't pulled the trigger yet and I'm not sure if I will. I'll be at the Sox game tonight (weather is supposed to hold off) so if I don't get back online, BOL to everyone tonight.
Season Record:
2 Unit Plays: 3-1 for +3.54 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 28-33-1 for -4.51 units.
Took a couple days off. Hoping to start fresh with a solid Friday night.
Red Sox -134: 1.34 units to win 1.
Mariners -115: 1.15 units to win 1.
Twins +138: 1 unit to win 1.38.
Tigers +149: 1 unit to win 1.49.
Looking at 1 or 2 more plays but haven't decided if I'll pull the trigger yet. BOL.
2 Unit Plays: 3-1 for +3.54 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 28-33-1 for -4.51 units.
Took a couple days off. Hoping to start fresh with a solid Friday night.
Red Sox -134: 1.34 units to win 1.
Mariners -115: 1.15 units to win 1.
Twins +138: 1 unit to win 1.38.
Tigers +149: 1 unit to win 1.49.
Looking at 1 or 2 more plays but haven't decided if I'll pull the trigger yet. BOL.
Season Record:
2 Unit Plays: 3-1 for +3.54 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 31-34-1 for -2.13 units.
I don't have time to wait for better lines unfortunately.
Twins +110: 1 unit to win 1.10.
Nationals +165: 1 unit to win 1.65.
Pirates +180: 1 unit to win 1.8.
Giants -110: 1.10 unit to win 1.
If I get back in time and the lines move enough I may have a couple more plays. BOL today everyone!
2 Unit Plays: 3-1 for +3.54 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 31-34-1 for -2.13 units.
I don't have time to wait for better lines unfortunately.
Twins +110: 1 unit to win 1.10.
Nationals +165: 1 unit to win 1.65.
Pirates +180: 1 unit to win 1.8.
Giants -110: 1.10 unit to win 1.
If I get back in time and the lines move enough I may have a couple more plays. BOL today everyone!
Season Record:
2 Unit Plays: 3-1 for +3.54 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 34-36-1 for +0.22 units.
Giants 9th inning implosion (as well as my own wimping out from making my first 2 unit underdog play) kept me from having a very solid day. But a winning day is a winnin gday. On to Monday.
2 Unit Plays: 3-1 for +3.54 units.
O/U Plays: 2-0-1 for +2 units.
RL Plays: 3-3 for +0.7 units.
Overall: 34-36-1 for +0.22 units.
Giants 9th inning implosion (as well as my own wimping out from making my first 2 unit underdog play) kept me from having a very solid day. But a winning day is a winnin gday. On to Monday.
Red Sox +115: 1 unit to win 1.15. Cliff Lee is not the pitcher he was last year, or at least we haven't seen that pitcher yet this year. Boston is on fire and so is Wakefield.
Marlins +135: 1 unit to win 1.35. John Maine and the Mets are just a little too overpriced here. Florida's 6 game slump has certainly helped the cause as well, but they're a much better team than this line gives them credit for.
Looking at a few more lines and will probably be back this afternoon. BOL.
Marlins +135: 1 unit to win 1.35. John Maine and the Mets are just a little too overpriced here. Florida's 6 game slump has certainly helped the cause as well, but they're a much better team than this line gives them credit for.
Looking at a few more lines and will probably be back this afternoon. BOL.
Thanks Nolan.
Twins -113: 1.13 units to win 1. Tampa Bay has not played well so far this season and are historically a very bad road team. Nothing I've seen so far this year, or even during last year's run toward the pennant, tells me that has changed. Additionally, they are facing a serious pitching mismatch IMHO, although Baker hasn't lived up to the "ace" tag yet this year. He was a much better pitcher last year at home and I think he can put it together tonight against a struggling Rays club that has yet to put it together this year.
Nationals +164: 1 unit to win 1.64. Everyone is all ready to jump back on the Phillies' bandwagon. I'll pass at this price, especially with Joe Blanton on the hill. Martis hasn't been bad this year and he's already beaten Philly once. Plus, the Nats have actually played pretty well lately, despite not having the wins to show for it.
Mariners +185: 1 unit to win 1.85. Seattle has been playing very well so far this year, particularly on the road. I know that Jakubauskas hasn't shown much promise yet this year, but I just don't believe he justifies this much juice. Danks have obviously been lights out so far this year, but I expect that he'll come back to Earth and I'll take the other side of the overpriced lines while they last.
Cubs +140: 1 unit to win 1.40. I understand that the Cubbies will be missing some bats tonight, but they still have a more solid lineup than the Diamondbacks. Haren is amazing, but Lilly has been extremely impressive thus far and should keep it going against a weak Arizona lineup.
I also like the Padres tonight as dogs, but am going to hold off as I already have 6 plays going and prefer not to go any higher. BOL to all tonight.
Twins -113: 1.13 units to win 1. Tampa Bay has not played well so far this season and are historically a very bad road team. Nothing I've seen so far this year, or even during last year's run toward the pennant, tells me that has changed. Additionally, they are facing a serious pitching mismatch IMHO, although Baker hasn't lived up to the "ace" tag yet this year. He was a much better pitcher last year at home and I think he can put it together tonight against a struggling Rays club that has yet to put it together this year.
Nationals +164: 1 unit to win 1.64. Everyone is all ready to jump back on the Phillies' bandwagon. I'll pass at this price, especially with Joe Blanton on the hill. Martis hasn't been bad this year and he's already beaten Philly once. Plus, the Nats have actually played pretty well lately, despite not having the wins to show for it.
Mariners +185: 1 unit to win 1.85. Seattle has been playing very well so far this year, particularly on the road. I know that Jakubauskas hasn't shown much promise yet this year, but I just don't believe he justifies this much juice. Danks have obviously been lights out so far this year, but I expect that he'll come back to Earth and I'll take the other side of the overpriced lines while they last.
Cubs +140: 1 unit to win 1.40. I understand that the Cubbies will be missing some bats tonight, but they still have a more solid lineup than the Diamondbacks. Haren is amazing, but Lilly has been extremely impressive thus far and should keep it going against a weak Arizona lineup.
I also like the Padres tonight as dogs, but am going to hold off as I already have 6 plays going and prefer not to go any higher. BOL to all tonight.
