<TABLE class=tborder style="BORDER-TOP-WIDTH: 0px" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=thead colSpan=2>09-22-2008 02:40 PM</TD></TR><TR title="Post 5782949" vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 align=middle width=125>echamp76</TD><TD class=alt2>JP, I am with you on Troy, the Trojans actually out gained Ohio St. Had they not had 80 yards of penalties and lost the TO battle it may have of been a very different game. JP, tell me what you think about the UNLV UNR game. I am not a huge UNLV homer or anything but I think this is a good spot for them. Nevada isn't what they used to be (RB still questionable). UNLV has tons of momentum, I assure you that the game will be sold out here in LV and I like the way the Rebels QB is playing 9tds and no picks, even though he should have of had one on Saturday night. I also like Tennesee, they were humiliated and I think they can put some points up on the board, they actually outgained FLA, they just have to eliminate the bonehead plays. Haven't looked at Purdue but I have see a lot of people talking about this game, I will take a gander.
Troy is still a toss-up for me at this point. I have several formulas that I run and a lot of times the three systems go 1-2 on a team or vice versa. Troy--being a big dog--has an advantage with the systems and the systems like it *BUT* I feel that rushing is an important factore also and OKST can do that. This is a time when we need to go in-depth and go player vs player and see tape where you think TROY can excel. Getting that many points sounds nice and I really do lean TROY medium almost big lean at this time. OHIO ST is a crock and right now they don't count to me. I had TROY in an easy cover there.
UNLV. I have value here and I rank my teams 1-XXX. UNLV is ahead of Nevada by 20 ranks. Which isn't much. I try to find mismatches by 50+ and then value after that. By way of statistics, these teams are on par with each other. Home field gives UNLV advantage and ALSO looking at it situationally they were able to score against (what I thought to be) a good Iowa State defense. I see good value and lean UNLV. Also, Nevada does blow ass this year as opposed to years before... they lost whats his name, I think he was a TE.
TENN. You found a great game--bad news is--this year the Vols don't seem to have any bit of offense. Sure the were only outgained by 15yds last game but they lost by 24??? In Auburn they are the quiet storm. Defense is their name it seems like for the current going. I'm not sure where you want to turn for this one. I would DEFINITELY want 7 points if I was taking TENN. Truth is, I lean AUBURN. I must say though, if TENN did have a good team this would be a HUGE play for the bounce-back.
PURDUE. I thought I would have a way bigger advantage but it's not. This game should be a PK... not sure if the rainy MICH game gives me skewed stats. What I do like is the UNDER if they come out. Both of these teams seem to be playing good D.
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