We as crew think we have better edge with games we picked Grindstone30. It took us a while as crew to decide on these games. That's why I posted our picks little late then rather to post our picks on J.J.Bascus and System Smitty Ryann Jr. Power rating thread. We also had some disputes among ourselves on the picks also. We also had some disputes among ourselves with System Smitty Ryann Jr Power Rating Ranked and % To Win which he updated for us. When J.J. Bascus and Smitty Ryann Jr. don't agree on the picks and way we bet on certain games its a major catastrophe/// LOL !!!!!
To be clear, this is how i read Harry's bet for the week??
Cincinnati -3
Miami -5.5
Rams -3
Giants -2.5
Bengals -3 Press To Miami -5.5
Bengals ML Press To Miami ML
Ekkyjaja I posted your private message on forum, because its people like you Ekkyjaja and many other members & personal guests thanking us for posting J.J. Bascus power rating. I realize from lot members here that look at his rating find it hard to understand? Complicated yes ? but you have to remember his rating is for us primarily for us. J.J. Bascus rating are usually on two sheets of paper that he composes and passed to us in last 10 years so. J.J. Bascus rating got so popular because of his win percentage, now its distributed to J.J. Bascus's friends at local books in Reno.Thats how it all started Ekkyjaja !! We as crew picked Rx sports forum to post because we have friends all over world!!! yes!! all over country that can get easy access as guests to this forum to see his rating and our picks. J.J. Smitty and myself use too hang out late Bob Martin who told us stories about how the line got ironed out before it was given to the rest of the world. We all spent a lot time with Bob in early 70s in Vegas learning different strategies and betting techniques & money management from Bob our mentor [ best numbers man in history of Las Vegas] that I have posted on this sports forum that how we bet our games. This was all about sharing information and philosophies to some great personal members here. You have to remember that we as crew are gamblers in NFL only and handicapping games like we do is sole purpose to win money and that's bottom line of course of entire NFL season. I just want thank you Ekkyjaja for time you took in replying to me and its well appreciated. So I took time to reply to your message Ekkyjaja !!! We are all sitting at sports book cocktail and watching games and betting the games as a crew and that's whats its all about my friend. Yes we might win some and lose some? but our goal is really tripling our bankrolls in course of NFL season just like pressing bets 3 to 1 an our original bankroll back to us. Ekkyjaja good luck on your picks and bets this week from meEkkyjaja said:First of, I would to say thank you for sharing all the knowledge and hard work Mr. Harry. I noticed 2 bets that should I say oddballs? NYG is at 50% for both J.J Bascus rating and system Smitty Ryann Jr. respectively, yet the crews seem pretty confidence in picking them, I'm guessing the crews plus yourself "see(s)" something that have an advantage over the book?
The 2nd bet that seem extremely odd is STL. System Smitty Ryann Jr. have WAS to win at 68% (a decent percentage I would say) yet the crew went against the system and pick STl, I know it's impossible to type out every thoughts online and explanation, that's the reason behind why I'm private msg you . I'm at a stage of learning and I'm very curious to know the reason behind that, if you do have the time or whenever is convenience for you, I would love to hear your thoughts Mr. Harry, thank you in advance.
I can see why you mention the crews were arguing over which picks are the strongest play for week2 in your post. I bet J.J Bascus, Smitty ryann Jr. and the crews plus yourself were arguing over the STL- WAS game LOL. I would pay to see that hahaha.
My thought for this week2 play. I'm pressing on CLE (I learn press play from you, and this will be my 2nd time trying it, the first time I lost). The reason I press play CLE because I won Denver on Thursday week2, sorry I know you play KC and went against the crews. The other reason is because this is where "up-down" theory comes in play, yes I have been reading your post/threads Mr. Harry. I went 6-1 preseason week3 because of the "up-down" theory, thank you!!! Anyway, CLE just got crushed pretty badly in week 1, and Tenns blew out TB very badly, this will be a perfect scenario for the "up-down" theory. Nothing is certain that for sure, I will hope it's a correct play, I was hoping your crews play CLE as well.
If Sunday I win, I might probably press IND on Monday, another perfect scenario for the "up-down" theory in play, and both J.J Bascus rating and system Smitty Ryann Jr.have it at 86% so it makes my initial bet a boost of confidence.
Sorry for a long post Mr. Harry, I hope your crews BOl in week2!!! I will probably tail 1-2 bets once I dig in more homework on my end. Thank you for the effort you put in for us at RX forum. It's 4:30 here at PA, and Ive work in 6 hours I'll leave it here, hope to hear from you soon. Thanks again.
+1
Thank you, PistolWhip, for doing this for the rest of us who have a hard time gleaning the picks from Harry's unorthodox posting style.
Can you do this on a weekly basis? Thanks in advance if you can! Cheers! :toast:
THANKS BLACK CAT... WE STILL GOT WHOLE SEASON TO GO AND WE DID WIN THE DINNER POOL/LOL!!!LOL!!!![ Yes we might win some and lose some? but our goal is really tripling our bankrolls in course of whole NFL season just like pressing bets 3 to 1 an our original bankroll back to us].Better luck week next week Harry.
I realize from lot members here that look at his rating find it hard to understand? Complicated yes ? but you have to remember his rating is for us primarily for us. unorthodox posting style?..There is many personal members friends here on Rx sports forum that have no problem with J.J. Bascus power rating. I have answered questions on previous posts this year and last year in how to read his rating and our picks. I also answer most question directed me on the rating and our picks. Grindstone30 & SaintsFan1977 and Sun Dodger member friends here on Rx sports forum that have no problem reading J.J. Bascus rating and our picks, just name a few.+2.
I get a headache trying to figure out what the hell he is playing.
Best of luck to the crew.
So as far as record keeping is concerned what was the units lost today. Looks like 1-5, losing 2 press bets.
Good luck with thatPersonally, I'd like to see an updated year to date record EACH WEEK in terms of W-L and units +/1.
Assumptions
1.10/1.00 for straight plays
*Cincy ML = 1.70/1.00
*Miami ML = 1.90/1.00
Cincinnati -3 WIN +1 unit
Cincinnati ML -170 WIN +1 unit
Miami -5.5 LOSS -1.1 unit
Rams -3 LOSS -1.1 unit
Giants -2.5 LOSS -1.1 unit
"Press bets"
Bengals -3 win to Miami -5.5 = take 2.00 units (1 original bet unit amount + 1 unit won on Bengals -3 ATS win) and bet it on Miami -5.5 -110; 2.20/2.00 LOSS -2.2 units
Bengals ML win to Dolphins ML = take 2.00 units (1 original bet unit amount + 1 unit won on Bengals ML win) and bet it on Miami ML -190; 3.80/2.00 LOSS -3.80 units
*The ML odds for Cincy and Miami are the ones I saw when I placed my Cincy -3 and ML plays.
Record for straight and press bets = 2-5
Units won or loss = -9.66 units
Will someone please confirm that my math is correct here. Thanks in advance.