Italy - Serie A for the weekend of 1/22/05

quantumleap · Jan 22, 2005

Sampdoria pk and +0.5 -108 over Lazio (Pinnacle)
Lazio is getting the nod here because they are at home, however Sampdoria is a good road team and has played well lately.

Sampdoria/Lazio over 2.5 +101 (Pinnacle)
Lazio's last 8 matches have gone over 2.5 and no team gives up more goals at home in this league than Lazio. Sampdoria has the reputation of being a defensive-minded team however they are quite different on the road than at home.

AC Milan/Livorno under 2.5 -118 (several books)
Milan has only given up 2 goals on the road this year. They have also only scored 9 goals in 9 road matches. They seem to be content in playing defensively on the road as only 2 of 9 matches have gone over 2.5.

This next one is just a lean-
Chievo Verona +1 and +1.5 +102 over Inter Milan
Inter Milan is another team that seems content to draw or win by 1.

quantumleap · Jan 22, 2005

Saturday's result:
Chievo 1, Inter Milan 1 (winner, no net, just a lean)

The reason this was a lean was because Inter can really put up some points.

chriscol · Jan 23, 2005

i agree with your lazio pick. the over is one of my stronger plays today.
What's about our favourite udinese? they still got no respect from the linemakers..especially at home.
What do you think about Roma pk...i am still looking at it.

my plays are:

Lazio- sampdoria : over 2.5 @ 1.99
Fiorentina-ROma : over 2.5 @ 1.98
Messina - Parma: Messina pk,-0.5 @ 2.12
Udinese - Reggina: Udinese -0.5,-1 @ 1.85

BOL to you

underCAT · Jan 23, 2005

No picks for me today (only sampdoria +1/4), don't like the odds...i'm waitng for Atalanta to make the upset today, but don't want to risk money on it ;-)

good luck to all your picks

UC

quantumleap · Jan 23, 2005

Thanks underCAT.

chriscol, I thought I would lay off Udinese since they lost 2 out of 3. I see they lost today 0-2 against Reggina at home. I'm never sure about Roma. They seem to play well one week and poorly the next.

quantumleap · Jan 23, 2005

Sunday's results:
Sampdoria 2, Lazio 1 (2 wins, net +1.94)
Livorno 1, AC Milan 0 (win, +0.85) :scared:

Net for the weekend: +2.79
YTD for Serie A: +8.82
YTD for all soccer: +22.57

Just a side note, getting lucky lately. That's 7 picks in a row for the Italian league. I'm noticing 80% trends for a team and then comparing their opponent to see if they are in line with that trend. Also, I like the angle of a better team getting plus points on the road as in Sampdoria.