Italy and Spain

chriscol · Apr 30, 2006

I have all games for both leagues on german TV today, so i looked hard at today games. i came up with:

Italy:

Chievo- Roma: Roma pk,+0.5 @ 2.02 and over 2.5 @ 1.93
Empoli- Inter:; Inter -0.5 @ 1.94
Lazio- Lecce: Lazio -1.5 @ 1.893 !! 2 units!!
Siena- Juve: Juve -0.5,-1 @ 1.962

Samdoria- Udinese: Samdoria to win (3.4) for 0.62 units and Udinese to win (5.51) for 0.38 units as a combination. that creats a bet with risking 1 to win 1.10 if game is not a draw.

i understand the thinking behind this "crazy line", where the draw is at 1.60. Both teams are safe in league with a draw. but why should they play for a draw with 3 games remaining? if this is the last day, they would very likely play for a 0-0 draw, but today i ll give it a shot.

Spain:

A.Madrid- Mallorca: Madrid -0.5 @ 1.79
Valencia-Alaves: Valencia -1.5 @ 2.08

Special 4-teamer:

Valencia + ACMilan+ Juve+Lazion to win straigt up @2.53

BOL to all

joeyfitzclick · Apr 30, 2006

If I'm going to risk - 145 on Lazio - 1.5 am I not better off taking the over 2.5 - 110 hoping for the blow out or Lecce possibly sneaking one ???

joeyfitzclick · Apr 30, 2006

Do Lazio have a chance at a European sot ? Have Lecce already been relegated ?

chriscol · Apr 30, 2006

Lecce has been officially relegated last weekend and Lazio is 5 pts ahead of Livorno for Uefa spot with 3 games remaining. As Livorno is very likely loosing today at Milan, Lazion can clinch the uefa spot with a win. Regarding your question i still like the Lazio -1.5 more, but they might be both good plays.

joeyfitzclick · Apr 30, 2006

i did a small play on both. thnx chris.

chriscol · Apr 30, 2006

funny: german reporter said before the matches: as usual at the end of season in italy there are rumors about the games. today siena- juve with 9 players from siena being ex-juve players...after that i doubled my bet on juve and after 7 minutes it is 3-0 for Juve

uppy: