Iowa vs Indiana 11/6/2010

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Iowa is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over Indiana. Ricky Stanzi is averaging 263 passing yards and 2.97 TDs per simulation and Adam Robinson is projected for 87 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Indiana wins, Ben Chappell averages 1.66 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.7 TDs to 1.43 interceptions. Trea Burgess averages 39 rushing yards and 0.25 rushing TDs when Indiana wins and 34 yards and 0.13 TDs in losses. Iowa has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +17

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