Indiana vs Illinois 10/27/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Indiana winning 55% of simulations, and Illinois 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Indiana commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Illinois wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Stephen Houston is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Donovonn Young is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -1.5
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