Improving your capping Old guard New guard chime in.

[Waycool]

Hi All

Following the posts here from OMT. Newport, ACE et al and the crew at Rx I have had my interest peaked on fine tuning your capping ability. Old and new guard can you chime into this thread as to how you find value. We know the spread is established to get evenly spread bettors on each team. The key as I see is sorting the wheat from the chaff the gems that are there.

Ace I really like your ability and thought process on finding hidden value ATS and it provides alot of insight. What is the full slate of data you use and how do you weigh that value to establish new line? It seems to me that current stats are more important then older historical data as it reflects the present position.

Does anyone opt for the historical ATS and weigh in selections on that?
A friend of mine is trying this season solely with historical data (some NFL mag with 10 years of Stats ATS). He is using a weighted average of different data in the magazine then weighs in his "lock" .

Give a man a pick and he will have a one week win. Teach a man the skills to cap and the spread is his ostyer

I think all of us want to have the best suite of tools to make our selections.

Waycool

 

[ACE-ACE]

I Do This Each Week In My Thread....if You Read Exbookie Want To Help The Player Week 1-14.....you Will No That Im Not Big On Ats Of Past Years.....to Find All My Thread
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Ace

 

[Waycool]

Thanks Ace I have indeed been following your threads. On your total data slate how many items are included? The key ones are much appreciated as well thanks for that I will also go through your old posts.


When re-evaluating the line say a line moving -7 to -10 the -3 when you way in your data how do you establish the -3 change. As an example High penalites on the favored team would it reduce line by a certain value, or as an example Turnovers on the dog being high would that equate to a substantial increase to the favorites value. Thanks for the tips I am willing to learn and refine this is all very interesting.

From one Great Lakes resident (Windsor here) to another Cheers Ace.

 

[ACE-ACE]

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Week 8 Was A Good One For What You Want.....

 

[Waycool]

Thanks Ace will review Week 8.