Illinois vs Fresno State 12/3/2010

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Illinois is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Fresno State. Mikel LeShoure is projected for 120 rushing yards and a 71% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Fresno State wins, Ryan Colburn averages 1.86 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.13 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Robbie Rouse averages 139 rushing yards and 1.31 rushing TDs when Fresno State wins and 124 yards and 0.71 TDs in losses. Illinois has a 55% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 71% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FREST +6

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