If you Had to Choose(2 pt conversion)

[exploited17]

Get rid of it or keep it?
I know many are fed up with it and how it impacts betting.

 

[phdinsports]

LMAO! So true. I'm always on the wrong side!

 

[Bozzie]

Bought it to +7....

Lol

 

[Avocado33]

It was the right decision to go for 2 there

 

[Cheddar]

It was the right decision to go for 2 there

According to analytics yes. Grumpy old men like me are old school and prefer to kick the extra point. Those that bought the half or just posted a favorable line of +7 aren’t happy. Keep the 2 point conversion

 

[slapshot]

It was the right decision to go for 2 there

No it wasn’t you go on the next TD

 

[Bozzie]

Hate it...I'm officially old

 

[StevieRay]

No it wasn’t you go on the next TD

 

[phdinsports]

It was the right decision to go for 2 there

Not just there but every time!

 

[Greenbacks]

I didn't understand going for 2 there
Overall i'm good with it though

 

[Cheddar]

Not just there but every time!

Just curious. Are you older or younger than 40?

 

[phdinsports]

I didn't understand going for 2 there
Overall i'm good with it though

You technically should go for it every single time! 50% conversion rate, higher when running so your expected point value every 10 attempts is 10 points. (5 out of 10 again higher if you run) Pat 95% so 95 out of 100 reduce the fraction to 9.5 out of 10. So your expected point value is 9.5 for every 10 pats.

 

[michael777]

Dumbest decision ever to go for 2 there , piss on analytics

 

[Bozzie]

Just curious. Are you older or younger than 40?

Idk that anyone under 40 is here..

Busy on tictok NFL shit

 

[Cheddar]

Idk that anyone under 40 is here..

Busy on tictok NFL shit

I only ask because we have 8 guys in our betting group. 2 guys are 40 and they love the analytics approach. The 6 old guys hate it but the younger kids and nephews love it. Just seems like the under 40ish group likes it more

 

[Bozzie]

I only ask because we have 8 guys in our betting group. 2 guys are 40 and they love the analytics approach. The 6 old guys hate it but the younger kids and nephews love it. Just seems like the under 40ish group likes it more

I totally get it..never see 40 whatevers at the casino sports books...

All online now..just suggesting this place skews older.

Check old the old "throwback" thread..horse and buggy and telegraphs...

 

[Cheddar]

I totally get it..never see 40 whatevers at the casino sports books...

All online now..just suggesting this place skews older.

Check old the old "throwback" thread..horse and buggy and telegraphs...

I sent the picture of the McDonalds ashtray to the group. The 2 40 year olds thought it was for a muffin or fries. LOL

 

[Bozzie]

I was young but i remember smoking on flights....back of the plane was a fog.

 

[slapshot]

That’s how you do it Andy

 

[Avocado33]

You technically should go for it every single time! 50% conversion rate, higher when running so your expected point value every 10 attempts is 10 points. (5 out of 10 again higher if you run) Pat 95% so 95 out of 100 reduce the fraction to 9.5 out of 10. So your expected point value is 9.5 for every 10 pats.

Well it’s a little more nuanced than that (though your math is right)

For example if you tie the game with a touchdown, then you obviously kick the extra point. There are certain contexts where the kick is better

In the case of being down by 14 late in the game. It’s better to go for 2 because your overall win probability is significantly higher. If you get it, then another touchdown WINS the game.

Versus if you score 7 twice, you’ve then made it basically a 50/50 game