Idaho vs Utah State 11/24/2012

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Utah State is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over Idaho. Chuckie Keeton is averaging 275 passing yards and 3.4 TDs per simulation and Kerwynn Williams is projected for 114 rushing yards and a 84% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where Idaho wins, Logan Bushnell averages 1.36 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.5 TDs to 1.06 interceptions. Ryan Bass averages 41 rushing yards and 0.41 rushing TDs when Idaho wins and 35 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. Utah State has a 55% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST -39
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