Idaho vs San Jose State 11/5/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Idaho winning 45% of simulations, and San Jose State 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Idaho commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. San Jose State wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brian Reader is averaging 253 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (26% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Matt Faulkner is averaging 304 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST -6

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