I think the best approach is just to follow him like what he is - a really good capper.
If you fade him expecting him to lose, you will probably lose - because he is a really good capper.
If you bet over your head on his plays because you think he's an unfallible capper, you'll hurt yourself because...he's just a really good capper.
If you fade him expecting him to lose, you will probably lose - because he is a really good capper.
If you bet over your head on his plays because you think he's an unfallible capper, you'll hurt yourself because...he's just a really good capper.
Is there a kids section here? Who the hell is Randizzle? I hope it's not a grown man calling himself that. As for his record, don't worry the bottom will fall out soon enough. May not even be this year but regression to the mean, that's all you need to know. I'd take his action from this point on at -110 all day long and never miss a beat.
Another example of why the Irish are always broke.
He is on a hell of a streak, but it is not pure luck. His logic in choosing plays is always sound after reading his writeups. As long as he doesn't reach or spread himself to thin he'll continue his success. At this point he has sone neither. Nothing but respect for what he has done this season.
I don't even know where his thread is so I can't say much about him specifically but I will say from a lifetime of taking bets that I've seen hundreds of streaks like this. Even on this forum I've seen them come and go. One season they can't lose, the next they are very average. No offense to the kid, I do respect what he has done, but IMO it's more a statistical deviation rather than some youngster that has just figured out how to dominate ATS betting for the rest of his life. Wish I had a quarter for everyone who felt like they just found the magic potion. Been there done that and bought the t-shirt.
And BTW I don't want to argue with a bunch of squares that think they have just found the Messiah. I've tried before, there is no reasoning with newbies flush with success. Just saying to be careful, it's amazing how the numbers seem to square up over time. What goes up must come down, usually with a thud. Carry on.
