How do you cap college bball?

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Home court is usually well accounted for in basketball with the extra points you have to give up in most cases. The home dog, in conf games, is always worth a look at in my opinion.

Knowing your coaches and their style of play is also important. some coaches are notorious for running up the score and some show mercy.
I like to follow the hot teams w/l record as they cover the spread at a much higher % than the losing teams. Of course also bet against teams with the real bad records and they usually have poor ats records.

Check this tad bit of info out: the top 5 teams last year ats and their W/L record in (). It pretty much holds true all the way down to the 300 teams on the list with very few exceptions. Point being don't bet on teams with bad records odds are the percentages are against you.

2007/2008 season:

ATS top 5 teams with record in ()

1. NM 23-8 (24-9)
2. Drake 20-8-1 (28-5)
3. NC 24-12 (36-3)
4. San Diego 22-10 (22-14
5. Davidson 23-11 (29-7)

2007/2008

ATS bottom 5 teams with record in ()

300th: NCS 6-21-1 (15-16)
299: Loyola Marymount 6-21 ( 5-26)
298: Drexel 7-19 (12-20)
297: Manhattan 7-19 (12-19)
296: Fresno St 8-19 (13-19)
295: Portland: 8-19 (6-25)


Of course we need about 9 or 10 games to really start seeing the pattern.

Of course I think it's very important in hoops to go to team websites and find out all you can about anything.

I would like to see posters post any inside info they get about their local or state teams, injuries, illnesses, problems, anything that can mess with team chemistry.
 

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I usually look for 4 key stats

3 pt FG% defense and 3 Pt FG %
Number of Offensive rebounds yielded on average per game.
Avg. Turnovers per game
FT %
 
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It's all about matchups more than anything else. There are situations where one team is just too athletic for the other team but both may bring good records and a lot of respect to the floor so the number isnt inflated.

And avoid betting 5-10 point dogs with coaches that wont give the fuck up and stop fouling.
 

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