Horse Racing Strategy Guide

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Jockey Experience is Important

Horse racing is way different than betting on dogs for really one main reason. There is a person on top of the horse directing it around the track. For some reason, a lot of novice horse racing bettors like to put all their weight into researching the horse and forget that the jockey in the driver’s seat is extremely important.
There are a few things that you want to look for when you’re researching a jockey. First, you want to look at their history. Are they a winning jockey? Have they been winning recently? Are they staying in shape (some added weight from a lack of discipline will make a difference)? Have they been active lately or are they coming off a break?
Second, you want to look at their specific experience with the actual horse they are on and the track they are racing. Have you ever driven a new car or someone else’s car for the first time? It probably took you a little while to get used to everything even though it’s still just driving a car. This is the same with jockeys and horses. If the jockey has never ridden that particular horse in race conditions, there might be some issues with the two synching up together. While you shouldn’t preclude a horse just because it’s their first race with a new jockey, you should take it into account.
The jockey’s experience on a track is probably the most important part of this equation. Yes, all tracks are ovals and have dirt on them. But, as will talk about more later, they are not the same. An experienced jockey who has run at a particular track a lot is going to know the ins and outs of the track. They’re going to know the good sections of track, the sections to avoid, and they’re going to know when and where to push the horses to get maximum effort.
So, what’s the bottom line? Make sure you research the jockeys. Look at their personal record and then their record and experience with the horse they are on and the track they are racing at.

See all here the nap of the day today



Check the Horse’s History


We feel like we should take a couple of deep breaths coming off of that math intensive section. Inhale…exhale. Alright, now we want to start talking about some other tips and strategies that you can use to pick winners. If you aren’t feeling the math stuff, these next tips are going to help you out a lot. If you are feeling the math stuff, you can use these tips to help you decide on your criteria and how you assign your values. Basically, the rest of this guide is going to be awesome for everyone.
What we want to talk about now is checking the horse’s history. You need to do research on the actual horse you are betting on. What exactly are you looking for? Well, there’s a lot you can look at. The first and most obvious is the horse’s experience and record. Have they raced at this track before? Have they won here before? How have they done in their past few races?
Then, you’ll want to look at the condition of the horse. Have they been overworked lately or given adequate rest? Have they raced recently or has it been a little long since they were on the track racing competitively? Has the horse ever been injured? Is the horse healthy?
 

Biz

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This is the absolute worst advice anyone can give.

The jockey is way over rated by the public. I hit a $66 horse at GGF last Sunday with a 0% jockey and 4% trainer. The horse had the best numbers in the race and 32-1 was ridiculous. Now why do you think this horse went off at 32-1??? Riiiight...the jockey and trainer rarely win.

Do you think that horse with the best numbers in the race cared who was on his back???

Like any profession, some are better than others. A horse with competitive numbers can win with many different jockeys.

Gambling is about odds and probability. The jockey and trainer rarely come into play when I place a bet. Yes, there are obviously certain jock/trainer combos you should be aware of. But if the horse can run, any competent jockey can win. Conversely, if a horse is slow compared to the competition the best jockey won't make him run any faster.
 

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This is the absolute worst advice anyone can give.

The jockey is way over rated by the public. I hit a $66 horse at GGF last Sunday with a 0% jockey and 4% trainer. The horse had the best numbers in the race and 32-1 was ridiculous. Now why do you think this horse went off at 32-1??? Riiiight...the jockey and trainer rarely win.

Do you think that horse with the best numbers in the race cared who was on his back???

Like any profession, some are better than others. A horse with competitive numbers can win with many different jockeys.

Gambling is about odds and probability. The jockey and trainer rarely come into play when I place a bet. Yes, there are obviously certain jock/trainer combos you should be aware of. But if the horse can run, any competent jockey can win. Conversely, if a horse is slow compared to the competition the best jockey won't make him run any faster.

Well said Biz!
 

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