Hoosier Daddy's Week 5 Lovable Losers

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13-16-2 YTD. Haven't seemed to get many breaks this year in the NFL.

Hoping for 5-2 or better today to right this ship.

Miami (+13')
The Fish's one cover this year was as a Road Dog at Cincinnati. I think Miami played their best game of the season LW vs. the Jets, but one play cost them the game. Miami still has the #3 defense in the league and may be able to force some turnovers to provide a spark for the offense, which outgained the Jets LW.

Miami is 6-3 ATS their L9 as a Road Dog of 7 or more.

I think a lot of hype is being made about the consecutive win streak and the Pats might come out flat.

Cleveland (+6)
The road team is 4-0-1 ATS L5 in this series. The dog is 5-2-2 ATS in this series.

Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS L7 as a Division Home Fav.

The Browns got both their starting Corners back LW vs. Washington.

Oakland (+9')
The Colts have played @ New England on national TV, @ Tennessee and Jacksonville and got 2 road wins, and also exploded on Green Bay on the FOX National TV game. They have gotten up for big games for straight weeks and now have a .500 Raiders team coming into Indy and have a bye next week. Letdown spot here.

I thnk Kerry Collins will do much better against this Colts defense and the Raiders will be able to take advantage of their speed on the perimeter.

Dallas (-3')
The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS at home since 2003. Dallas is 7-2 ATS as a fav off a bye week.

Parcells puts a heavy emphasis on division games (6-1 SU and ATS vs. Division with Big D).

The Giants have caught some lucky breaks in their wins this year. Washington turned it over 7 times, Cleveland had several starters out, and Favre got injured LW in Green Bay.

I just think the Giants are getting too much respect and the sycophant media are jumping on their bandwagon. This means it's go against time.

Houston (+4')
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS L10 away from home (9-19 L28 away).
The Vikings are 9-18 ATS L27 as Chalk and 2-8 ATS L10 as Road Chalk.

The Texans are 6-2 ATS as Home Dogs since beginning of 03' season.

The Vikings have really struggled to get a pass rush this year and this will allow Carr a lot of time to throw.

San Diego (+3)
I am going to subscribe to the old "Play the Puppy Again" theory here. Home Dog wins LW and they are home dogs again.

The Jags finally moved the ball LW, but that was against the league's worst pass defense (Indy).

The Jags still have a poor offense (28th in league) and the Chargers are very good at stopping the run (5th in the NFL).

Jacksonville lost LT Mike Pearson LW which means Marcellus Wiley will be out for blood.

Expect some Leftwich turnovers today.

Carolina (+5')
The Panthers are 8-1 ATS L9 as a dog and 9-4 ATS as a non-conf dog.

The Bronco offense is having trouble running the ball consistenly since Alex Gibbs left for Atlanta. This means they will likely have to throw and Carolina has the #3 pass defense in the league (149 yds) and #7 overall defense (291 ypg).

Carolina is in the same situation of losing a game at home (Green Bay) and then going on the road against an AFC opp the next week (at Kansas City). They won that one and I think they may win this one as well.


GL

HD
 

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wiley

wiley is on da cowboys so that would be a nice trick!! lol
r u posting service picks today? keep up da good work
 

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Looks like it's going to be another banner day for me. Good thing I've got College Football this year.
 

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Boy, I can't catch a ******* break. Unbelievable! 0-5 start. It's days like this where you want to put a bullet in your head. I'm sorry that I am so terrible.
 

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