Hoosier Daddy's Nfl Week 12 Losers

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42-50-5 YTD this year.

I am just hoping to get above .500 by the end of the year. The public has made a killing this year.

Cincinnati (-6)
The home team has covered at a 7-2 clip in Cleveland Browns games (0-2 L2).

Cleveland is having QB issues and the Bengals defense has played well the last few weeks.

Carolina (+3)
Carolina is terrible as a home fav, but in a preferred role of Home Dog here. They are 3-2 ATS under Fox in that role and 13-8-2 since 1996.

Carolina has a 2-game win streak and Delhomme is finding his targets with regularity.

Kansas City (-2')
OK, why should this team be favored over SD. Exactly.

Houston (+1')
OK, the Titans have McNair back and all is well right? The Titans even struggled with McNair in the lineup the first 3 games.

Houston is 7-3 ATS as a Home Dog the L2Y (2-1 this year).

They've lost 3 straight and the linesmakers are only laying 1 or 1.5 to them.

Arizona (+3)
The Cards are 3-1 ATS as a Home Dog this year and the only team to cover against them was New England in Week 2.

The Jets got lucky LW in Cleveland. I still would not be confident laying points on the road with Quincy Carter in a new offense.

Miami (+1)
Miami stayed out West this week and won't have the travel hangover.

Miami at least still has a defense that plays hard. SF gave up 34 points in the 2nd half to a struggling Carolina offense.

Baltimore (+7)
I know I said I wouldn't do it, but the Pats can't cover every single game. Billick is 14-5 ATS as a Road Dog.

Oakland (+12)
Literally no one is on the Raiders here. The Raiders are 3-7 ATS against the spread, but have covered 2 of those as a Road Dog.

I think the Blowout of the Saints LW and the old Shanahan vs. Davis deal inflates this line.

Granted, the Raiders are terrible, but there is no action on them whatsoever.

Probably some more losers here, but I am still trying to plug away. This has been the weirdest NFL season in a long time.
 

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Take off Houston. I don't like it when the dog becomes the fav.

Add:

Seattle (-4')
Buffalo is terrible on the road. Seattle has been mediocre the last few weeks. I think they break out of their funk today.


GL

HD
 

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