HD's analysis:
follow missouri valley very closely, and subsequently Evansville. Have backed them successfully 4 times this year, all at home. This is a team I picked to be a sleeper in the Valley, kind of like Illinois St last season. They have an experienced back court in Shy Ely, and Jason Holsinger. Holsinger is an excellent shooter, and Ely is a great slashed. They also get solid production from a senior Nate Garner, and freshman Jason Haarsma. They improved quite a bit on one of their big weaknesses last year, rebounding. They are a well coached, scrappy team. Now with all that said I wouldn't touch them tonight. UNC is a totally different animal from what they have faced thus far. They are also a notoriously bad road team. This is a team you want to back at home, but stay far away from on the road. Where they have improved their athleticism they aren't anywhere near UNC athletic wise. I am expecting a rude awakening tonight. I wouldn't back them tonight, and i;m a big Evansville supporter. Their only chance is to shoot lights out, but I just don't see it happening. They won't won't be able to hang with UNC. I see a 35 point victory for the Heels