Home "Dog" on Monday Night

toon67 · Oct 25, 2004

Does anyone believe in this anymore? It seems Denver is the call by all accounts. I think with everyone on Denver tonight,, I might play Cincy!!!! ROad team on MNF has dominated the past 11-13 games(i think they have covered the last 11-13). Looking for opinions:aktion033 . Toon67

ElIguana · Oct 25, 2004

Toon, generally I love home dogs, but only when they are a live dog--scrappy defense, talent on the team but haven't quite "gelled" yet...like Arizona Cards. But tonight clearly seems like a colossal mismatch. I tease a lot of dogs on MNF games, but I'm not even confident enough in Cincy to keep it within 13.

Some pure statistical bettors will take Cincy + the points. Some situational bettors will take Cincy + the points for the "underdog on MNF" factor. But it appears that most fundamental bettors see the glaring disparity (there's a term rarely heard nowadays) between these 2 teams and feel that Denver will roll. I happen to be one of them. GL

JWT0001 · Oct 25, 2004

I haven't made a final decision, but:

Great running team vs. terrible run defense spells major trouble for Cincinnati, even with the points. Granted, I'm sure Marvin Lewis will do what he can, but the talent has to be there...