Hilton contest picks

quantumleap · Dec 17, 2004

</TD></TR><TR><TD height=6></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=navy><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=silver><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width=610 border=0><TBODY><TR align=middle bgColor=navy><TD colSpan=4>Favorite</TD><TD>|</TD><TD colSpan=4>Dog</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Picked</TD><TD>Score</TD><TD>Team</TD><TD>Line</TD><TD>Team</TD><TD>Score</TD><TD>Picked</TD><TD>Rank</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>3</TD><TD>92</TD><TD></TD><TD>Pit</TD><TD>10</TD><TD>NYG</TD><TD></TD><TD>36</TD><TD>22</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>2</TD><TD>97</TD><TD></TD><TD>Was</TD><TD>3½</TD><TD>SFO</TD><TD></TD><TD>30</TD><TD>24</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>21</B></TD><TD>37</TD><TD></TD><TD>ATL</TD><TD>3½</TD><TD>Car</TD><TD></TD><TD>137</TD><TD>1</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>5</TD><TD>81</TD><TD></TD><TD>NYJ</TD><TD>6</TD><TD>Sea</TD><TD></TD><TD>44</TD><TD>18</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>16</B></TD><TD>48</TD><TD></TD><TD>PHI</TD><TD>12½</TD><TD>Dal</TD><TD></TD><TD>30</TD><TD>24</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>20</B></TD><TD>41</TD><TD></TD><TD>Min</TD><TD>3</TD><TD>DET</TD><TD></TD><TD>53</TD><TD>13</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>7</B></TD><TD>69</TD><TD></TD><TD>Sdg</TD><TD>10</TD><TD>CLE</TD><TD></TD><TD>44</TD><TD>18</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>6</B></TD><TD>79</TD><TD></TD><TD>Buf</TD><TD>PK</TD><TD>CIN</TD><TD></TD><TD>55</TD><TD>11</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>9</B></TD><TD>64</TD><TD></TD><TD>GRB</TD><TD>3½</TD><TD>Jax</TD><TD></TD><TD>67</TD><TD>8</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>21</B></TD><TD>37</TD><TD></TD><TD>CHI</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>Hou</TD><TD></TD><TD>54</TD><TD>12</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>12</B></TD><TD>54</TD><TD></TD><TD>TAM</TD><TD>8</TD><TD>Nor</TD><TD></TD><TD>31</TD><TD>23</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>19</B></TD><TD>42</TD><TD></TD><TD>Stl</TD><TD>1½</TD><TD>ARZ</TD><TD></TD><TD>36</TD><TD>22</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>15</B></TD><TD>49</TD><TD></TD><TD>KAN</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>Den</TD><TD></TD><TD>60</TD><TD>10</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>14</B></TD><TD>50</TD><TD></TD><TD>OAK</TD><TD>PK</TD><TD>Ten</TD><TD></TD><TD>30</TD><TD>24</B></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=lavender><TD>17</B></TD><TD>45</TD><TD></TD><TD>IND</TD><TD>8</TD><TD>Bal</TD><TD></TD><TD>86</TD><TD>4</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD>14</B></TD><TD>50</TD><TD></TD><TD>Ne</TD><TD>9½</TD><TD>MIA</TD><TD></TD><TD>37</TD><TD>21</B></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

quantumleap · Dec 17, 2004

I always like to stress here that these picks may be good picks due to the line that is given. These lines are as of Tuesday and the contestants get until Friday to make picks using these lines. The line may have moved since Tuesday which may make some of these bets not such a good deal.

Here is the record of the top 5 picks (disregarding line movements) for the first 14 weeks-

Week 1: 4-1
Week 2: 1-4
Week 3: 3-2
Week 4: 3-2
Week 5: 3-2
Week 6: 2-3
Week 7: 2-3
Week 8: 3-2
Week 9: 3-2
Week 10: 0-5
Week 11: 5-0
Week 12: 4-1
Week 13: 4-0-1
Week 14: 2-3

quantumleap · Dec 17, 2004

I prefer to bet on the games with the greatest difference in rankings (after adjusting for line changes). I have gone 4-1 with these picks in each of the last 2 weeks. Here are my picks for this week with the current line-

Car +3.5 over Atl (difference in ranking between teams = 20)
Pitt -10 over NYG (diff.=19)
Wash -6 over SFO (diff.=22)
SD -10 over Cle (diff.=11)
Bal +7.5 over Ind (diff.=13)
TB -8 over NO (diff.=11)
NYJ -6.5 over Sea (diff.=13)

I'll try to come up with a Super Teaser later on.