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Politico Survey of GOP Operatives for State of Race. Short Version - Trump is Done.



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By khyber900
Thursday Sep 08, 2016 · 12:15 PM PDT

Politico has a new article about Trump’s electoral prospects entitled “Trump’s Shrinking Swing State Map”.
They conducted interviews with more than 2 dozen GOP operatives, state party officials and elected leaders. The questions focused on the state of the race in 11 battleground states. Here are some key observations:
*Colorado, New Hampshire and Virginia are “close to un-winnable” for Trump.

*Trump has lost ground (needs to ‘recapture steam’) in PA. He now trails by 10 points per Politico’s own battleground state polling average. (Politico never releases this poll, but they put it into their articles from time to time).
*Trump has lost ground in Wisconsin and the state “could find itself off the map” soon. Per the article he appears to be below the GOP baseline in Southeast Wisconsin.
*Michigan has been placed in the bottom tier of pickup opportunities next to NH. Even crappy polls like Emerson give Clinton a clear lead in the state.
*Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio remain tight according to the polling averages. However, I would note that Clinton has held a clear lead in the majority of polls conducted in FL, NC and OH. NV appears to be drifting quietly into the blue column as even these internet surveys can’t unskew a lead for Trump. IA is tight, but the PPP poll showing Clinton +2 and the fact that Hillary’s team in IA has already made about 1 million contacts tell me that she is going to be a tough out there. It also underscores to me some of Trump’s weakness. IA has the largest percentage of non-college educated whites among battleground states (45%). If he can’t win there, he can’t win anywhere. It tells me that his appeal does not reach much beyond the GOP base and if Bernie voters get behind Clinton she should be able to win it by a solid margin.

Tony Fabrizio, who is a veteran GOP pollster, is the guy doing polls for Trump. They will be making decisions on cutting the cord on certain states and focusing on others over the next 2 weeks.
They will likely cut the cord in NH and try to go all-in on VA. Some (but clearly not all) VA GOP operatives think that despite the bad polling, Trump could make a comeback there as Ken Cuccinelli did in his narrow loss against McCaulife. My response to that is : general election vs. off year election, Tim Kaine, and the fact that Donald Trump is loathed by normal people, a lot of whom live in NOVA.
There is also the factor of Clinton’s very real expansion into GA, AZ and NE-2 (by way of Iowa spend). That is complicating their decision making.
Basically, if you follow the thread of this article, she is already at 273 EVs and is likely to clear 300 fairly easily. The observations here seem to align to the Politico article last week with David Plouffe.
60 days or so to go, but we’re in good shape.



:):)
 

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Hillary speaking the truth. Half of Trump supporters are in fact deplorable human beings.
 

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[h=6]- SEPTEMBER 10, 2016 -[/h][h=1]​GOV. PENCE BLASTS HILLARY CLINTON’S “BASKET OF DEPLORABLES” INSULT OF MILLIONS OF AMERICANS[/h]
Gov. Pence: “No One With That Low Opinion Of The American People Should Ever Be Elected President Of The United States”


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GOV. PENCE: Hillary Clinton said last night at a big fundraiser in New York City that the American people, the millions of Americans that are supporting my running mate, were described in the most deplorable of terms. It's extraordinary to think of it. She referred to those people as irredeemable. I will tell you right now, I campaign on a regular basis with Donald Trump. I campaign all across this country for Donald Trump. Hillary Clinton’s low opinion of the people that support this campaign should be denounced in the strongest possible terms. The truth of the matter is that the men and women who support Donald Trump's campaign are hard-working Americans, farmers, coal miners, teachers, veterans, members of our law enforcement community, members of every class of this country who know that we can make America great again. So let me just say from the bottom of my heart: Hillary, they are not a basket of anything, they are Americans, and they deserve your respect. I’ve not heard that level of disdain for Americans that I can even repeat since Barack Obama described people that opposed him as people who cling to their guns and religion. Let me just say, no one with a record of failure at home and abroad, no one with her avalanche of dishonesty and corruptions, and no one with that low opinion of the American people should ever be elected president of the United States of America. We must decide here and now that Hillary Clinton will never be president of this great nation.



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[h=6]- SEPTEMBER 09, 2016 -[/h][h=1]STATEMENT ON HILLARY CLINTON[/h]“Just when Hillary Clinton said she was going to start running a positive campaign, she ripped off her mask and revealed her true contempt for everyday Americans. Tonight’s comments were more than another example of Clinton lying to the country about her emails, jeopardizing our national security, or even calling citizens ‘super-predators’ – this was Clinton, as a defender of Washington’s rigged system – telling the American public that she could care less about them. And what’s truly deplorable isn’t just that Hillary Clinton made an inexcusable mistake in front of wealthy donors and reporters happened to be around to catch it, it’s that Clinton revealed just how little she thinks of the hard-working men and women of America.” – Jason Miller, Senior Communications Advisor
 

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Donald J. TrumpVerified account@realDonaldTrump
While Hillary said horrible things about my supporters, and while many of her supporters will never vote for me, I still respect them all!
 

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Donald J. TrumpVerified account@realDonaldTrump
While Hillary said horrible things about my supporters, and while many of her supporters will never vote for me, I still respect them all!

Hahahahahaha!! Trump is a funny guy.
 

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Hillary speaking the truth. Half of Trump supporters are in fact deplorable human beings.


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Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 7h7 hours ago

Wow, Hillary Clinton was SO INSULTING to my supporters, millions of amazing, hard working people. I think it will cost her at the Polls!:toast:
 

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Pretty shitty thing to say. No upside in that comment.

I 100% believe it. So I'm going to say it. I mean his supporters range from the American Nazis, every white nationalist group out there, the alt-righties, the KKK, David Duke, etc. They are deplorable human beings and they make up a large portion of his support.
 

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I 100% believe it. So I'm going to say it. I mean his supporters range from the American Nazis, every white nationalist group out there, the alt-righties, the KKK, David Duke, etc. They are deplorable human beings and they make up a large portion of his support.

50% ? No fucking way. I personally know well 20 trump supporters. By this logic 10 would be deplorable human beings? None of them are, they are friends, family, business associates assistant coaches.
 

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Plus Hils has no business whatsoever to call someone a bad person, that bitch has sold her soul to the devil to get where she is today. She is straight evil. And finch is a Hils supporter.... says it all right there
 

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50% ? No fucking way. I personally know well 20 trump supporters. By this logic 10 would be deplorable human beings? None of them are, they are friends, family, business associates assistant coaches.

Not really by that logic. Because you probably don't hang out with the alt-righty group. But the fact he's going to be the first Republican President in 60 years to lose the educated white male vote says it all. Heck the Harvard Republican club has voted for every Republican in their existence for 100+ years and they decided that this guy is too crazy to vote for. I would say a good 50% of his supporters are deplorable people and 90+% of those are in the south. He's not the most disliked Presidential candidate in history for no reason. Just look at this forum. I would venture to say 90% of the Trump supporters on this forum are deplorable people, lol.
 

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So most southern non college educated Republicans are deployable? I guess it depends on your definition. What percent of Hils supporters in your opinion would you classify as deplorable?
 

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So most southern non college educated Republicans are deployable? I guess it depends on your definition. What percent of Hils supporters in your opinion would you classify as deplorable?

A much smaller percentage than Trump supporters. I always only care who the educated is voting for. Both sides have their degenerates. The fact that Trump is up almost 40% on uneducated white males but down 5-10% on educated white males, means education is far more important than anything else in this country. And yes, he attracts the worst of the worst. Just look at the people on this site. There's millions of these people out there all across the country (mostly in the south). The fact you support Trump and have a lot of friends that do actually surprises me. I have couple friends that support Trump, more that support Hillary, and probably about 50% that dislike them both and don't want to choose either but probably will choose Hillary at the end of the day.
 

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A much smaller percentage than Trump supporters. I always only care who the educated is voting for. Both sides have their degenerates. The fact that Trump is up almost 40% on uneducated white males but down 5-10% on educated white males, means education is far more important than anything else in this country. And yes, he attracts the worst of the worst. Just look at the people on this site. There's millions of these people out there all across the country (mostly in the south). The fact you support Trump and have a lot of friends that do actually surprises me. I have couple friends that support Trump, more that support Hillary, and probably about 50% that dislike them both and don't want to choose either but probably will choose Hillary at the end of the day.

I don't support Trump, never said that nor am I voting for him. I said I know lots of Trump supporters who are really good people.
 

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Hils a terrible human being, she has no right calling anyone deplorable. Period. That's my position.
 

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I don't support Trump, never said that nor am I voting for him. I said I know lots of Trump supporters who are really good people.

Ahhhh... my bad bro! Yea, I know couple Trump supporters. I hate to admit it, but my best friend is a trump supporter. But, he's not one of those that follows politics religiously like us. He just wants change and to protect our borders. He doesn't care about the rest of the stuff.
 

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Ahhhh... my bad bro! Yea, I know couple Trump supporters. I hate to admit it, but my best friend is a trump supporter. But, he's not one of those that follows politics religiously like us. He just wants change and to protect our borders. He doesn't care about the rest of the stuff.

All good bud, my best friend is voting Trump because he hates Hils with a passion and is all about the borders. The one position I do agree with Trump on is his position on muslim immigration and refugee situation. Hils wants more Syrian refugees, trump says not so much. Not sure why you are on the Hils wagon, even Obama called her out 8 years ago for being a sleazy politician who will say or do anything to get elected. But it's all good man, enjoy your Saturday night and let's go O's and Ravens!!
 

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