CAL SPORTS
4 BALTIMORE
3 SAN FRANCISCO
3 DENVER
3 WASH/NYG OVER
NCAAB
3 WISC-MILW
COMP PLAY
CAROLINA
MARC LAWRENCE
4 UNDERDOG GOY
TAMPA BAY
3 RAVENS
3 DALLAS
3 DENVER
DR. BOB
4 RAVENS, BRONCOS
2 OAKLAND, CHARGERS, ARIZONA, BILLS, N.E., CLEVELAND
NSA
20 JETS
10 MIAMI
10 CAROLINA
5 EAGLES
5 DENVER
LENNY STEVENS
20 AFC GOY
STEELERS
20 DETROIT
10 JAX
10 DENVER
10 ATLANTA
GREG DEMPSON
4 JETS
MIKE LEE
8 BILLS
8 DENVER
6 RAVENS
6 DALLAS
3 SAN FRAN
3 REDSKINS UNDER
3 BEARS UNDER
3 MIAMI UNDER
3 DENVER UNDER
JOE ATKINS
7 MINN
7 COLTS
7 LIONS UNDER
JB
5 MINN
5 JAX
5 N.E.
3 BALT
3 TENN
3 SAN FRAN
SCOTT SPREITZER
SMASHMOUTH FOOTBALL
STEELERS
EAGLES
BRONCOS
ASA
3 BALTIMORE
3 SEATTLE
3 JAX
7 GOY RELEASED NOON EST.
USA SPORTS
From Brian Smith:
Baltimore (-3.5) hosting Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis (+3.5) at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Kansas City (+2.5) at Denver, 4:15 ET
WONDERDOG[GUYS THIS IS THAT SERVICE OUT OF TEXAS THAT IS LIKE 12-1.]
MIAMI +3 over NEW ENGLAND (at New England - 4:15PM Eastern)
The Patriots have been the league's hottest team since week 5, having won eight straight (and covering 7 of them). Miami struggles in the cold in December, having won just 7 out of 35 on the road during the regular season in December and January over the past 15 years. The Patriots beat the Dolphins in Miami earlier this year. So it's all Patriots in this one, right? I just love these games in which the cards appear so stacked against us. As I stated a couple of weeks ago when picking Cincinnati to upset the then-undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, NFL teams cannot play at a super-high level week-in-and-week out for very long. The Chiefs did it for 9 games and then faltered. New England has done it for eight straight weeks and I think this is the week they come back down to earth. Miami is riding high after last week's thrashing of the NFL's number one defense. They are coming off 10 days of rest and extra prep time. They are especially motivated by their earlier loss to New Engl!
and and the "cold-weather" monkey that they would love to get off their back. New England's wins this year have not been dominating. They are a very good team that finds ways to win but they are playing with fire. Their average margin of victory is only 4 points (not great for a 10-2 team) and two of their wins have required overtime. Minus the week one blip against Houston, Miami's three other losses have come against teams with a combined mark of 27-9 (Tennessee, Indianapolis and New England). This is a must-win game for the Dolphins while it is a nice-to-win for the Patriots. And one last dollop of icing on the cake: The Fins are 5-1 ATS on the road this year.
...THE DOG SAYS: Take Miami +3
BEN BURNS
3*GOW--MIAMI
1*VIKINGS
1*EAGLES
1*JETS
1*BENGALS UNDER
1*CAROLINA UNDER
1*BILLS OVER
From Earl Morgan:
Minnesota (-1.5) hosting Seattle, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis (+3.5) at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Miami (+3) at New England, 4:15 ET
DAVE COKIN
GOLD KEEY PLAYS
GIANTS
RAIDERS
Psychic Sports NFL WISE GUY
TAMPA BAY.
NET PROPHET
NFL:
Baltimore -3' over Cincinnati
Dallas/Philadelphia UNDER 36
Miami/New England UNDER 35
NY Jets/Buffalo UNDER 36
Carolina -1 over Atlanta
CHARGERS
Big Al Mcmordie
Game: San Diego Chargers at Detroit Lions Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: San Diego Chargers
Reason: San Diego is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog vs. losing teams who are off a SU and ATS win. With Detroit off that big upset of Green Bay on Thanksgiving, take Doug Flutie & Co. to pull the upset here.
Kevin O'Neill
Game: Oakland Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers
Reason: It is money burner vs. money burner when the Raiders (2-9-1 against the spread this year) travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers (11-17-2 to the number since the start of last season). After falling to the Bengals to essentially fall out of the race in the mediocre AFC North Division we can’t be certain we’ll get much of an effort from the Steelers. But after Bill Callahan sealed his fate in Oakland by referring to his Raiders as “the dumbest team in America” following their 22-8 self-immolation (kept three Bronco scoring drives alive with penalties, lost three fumbles) against visiting Denver last week. The Silver and Black were already on the verge of checking out on the season and several players, most pointedly Charles Woodson, were highly critical of Callahan for his comments. Callahan was right, of course, but a pro coach can’t say that about his team in the free agency era and expect it not to influence the club’s effort. The Raiders are merely playing out the string. This Steelers outfit doesn’t inspire confidence, but we’ll have to lay points as Oakland lays down. Kevin O’Neill hasn’t lost a game in an NFL guaranteed package here since November 15th. His three-game NFL Triple Plays are now 48-20-4 (better than 70% against the spread) since October of 2002. That’s not a 48-20 system or trend, that’s actual 48-20 handicapping performance. Get these three strong plays right now and pay only after you win.
Marc Lawrence
Game: Washington Redskins at New York Giants Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Washington Redskins
Reason: Battle of disappointing teams finds the Redskins seeking revenge from an overtime loss suffered earlier at home this season against the Giants. With Washington 25-10 ATS as road dogs of < 7 points, and the Giants 0-4 SU & ATS at home against losing teams this season, we’ll take the points in this division grudge rematch.
John Ryan
Game: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Dec 7 2003 4:15PM
Prediction: Miami Dolphins
Reason: I have a play on Miami to defeat New England in SU fashion. Miami's running game will be the difference and if the weather does turn foul the Miami running game will be even more effective. The main reason that the running game will so strong is QB Jay Fiedler's hot hand. His play has been great since coming back and replacing an largely ineffective Brian Griese and this forces defenses to play a more honest style having to respect the pass. Moreover, Fiedler has exploited man coverage with ease and NE can ill afford to get caught in man coverage too many times. I believe Norv Turner will look to emphasize the run and Williams and in the process slow the pace of the game in their favor. NE NT Washington is very good, but after him the NE defensive front is under sized and vulnerable to wearing out in the 4th quarter. Supporting this play is the fact that NEW ENGLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnovers since 1992. MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points since 1992. MIAMI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow less than 3 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. My Ai simulator projects an 78% probability that NE will not gain 100 yards rushing and should that occur Miami then has a 79% probability of winning ATS
Steve Merril
Game: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys
Reason: DALLAS COWBOYS +5 ½ (at Philadelphia) – 1:00 pm EST
Bill Parcells is on a current 41-17 ATS run as an underdog of +3 or more points and is also a long-term 60% ATS play after a SU loss. This season Dallas is a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS after a defeat and will be motivated after a poor showing on national TV last Thursday. Dallas also benefits from three extra days of practice and preparation for this game. The Cowboys also qualify as a defensive underdog, allowing just 250 total yards and 4.4 yards per play this season (versus teams averaging 5.1 yppl). The points are worth a look in a low-scoring game (O/U is just 35) and with gusty winds.
Larry Ness
Game: Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Minnesota Vikings
Reason: The Vikings opened the season 6-0 SU and ATS but have since seen their season begin to slip away by going 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS the last six games. Fortunately for the Vikings, the Packers have not been able to put together consistent efforts and the Vikings enter Week 14 with a one-game lead in the NFC North. The Seahawks trail the Rams by one game in the NFC West but have all sorts of problems on the road. Although 7-0 at home, Seattle has dropped four consecutive road games allowing 33.3 ppg. In the Vikings, they face the NFL's No 1 ranked offense (385.4 ypg) that should be even more dangerous with RB Michael Bennett looking healthier than he has all season and coming off his best game of the year (98 yards last week vs St Louis). Seattle's offense is pretty dangerous itself with Shawn Alexander having an excellent season and Matt Hasselbeck finally getting his receivers to hold on to the ball. Seems almost no way this game won't be a shoot-out but even with all their problems lately, I still see the Vikings coming away with the win as the Seahawks just can't be trusted on the road. Take Minnesota.
4 BALTIMORE
3 SAN FRANCISCO
3 DENVER
3 WASH/NYG OVER
NCAAB
3 WISC-MILW
COMP PLAY
CAROLINA
MARC LAWRENCE
4 UNDERDOG GOY
TAMPA BAY
3 RAVENS
3 DALLAS
3 DENVER
DR. BOB
4 RAVENS, BRONCOS
2 OAKLAND, CHARGERS, ARIZONA, BILLS, N.E., CLEVELAND
NSA
20 JETS
10 MIAMI
10 CAROLINA
5 EAGLES
5 DENVER
LENNY STEVENS
20 AFC GOY
STEELERS
20 DETROIT
10 JAX
10 DENVER
10 ATLANTA
GREG DEMPSON
4 JETS
MIKE LEE
8 BILLS
8 DENVER
6 RAVENS
6 DALLAS
3 SAN FRAN
3 REDSKINS UNDER
3 BEARS UNDER
3 MIAMI UNDER
3 DENVER UNDER
JOE ATKINS
7 MINN
7 COLTS
7 LIONS UNDER
JB
5 MINN
5 JAX
5 N.E.
3 BALT
3 TENN
3 SAN FRAN
SCOTT SPREITZER
SMASHMOUTH FOOTBALL
STEELERS
EAGLES
BRONCOS
ASA
3 BALTIMORE
3 SEATTLE
3 JAX
7 GOY RELEASED NOON EST.
USA SPORTS
From Brian Smith:
Baltimore (-3.5) hosting Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis (+3.5) at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Kansas City (+2.5) at Denver, 4:15 ET
WONDERDOG[GUYS THIS IS THAT SERVICE OUT OF TEXAS THAT IS LIKE 12-1.]
MIAMI +3 over NEW ENGLAND (at New England - 4:15PM Eastern)
The Patriots have been the league's hottest team since week 5, having won eight straight (and covering 7 of them). Miami struggles in the cold in December, having won just 7 out of 35 on the road during the regular season in December and January over the past 15 years. The Patriots beat the Dolphins in Miami earlier this year. So it's all Patriots in this one, right? I just love these games in which the cards appear so stacked against us. As I stated a couple of weeks ago when picking Cincinnati to upset the then-undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, NFL teams cannot play at a super-high level week-in-and-week out for very long. The Chiefs did it for 9 games and then faltered. New England has done it for eight straight weeks and I think this is the week they come back down to earth. Miami is riding high after last week's thrashing of the NFL's number one defense. They are coming off 10 days of rest and extra prep time. They are especially motivated by their earlier loss to New Engl!
and and the "cold-weather" monkey that they would love to get off their back. New England's wins this year have not been dominating. They are a very good team that finds ways to win but they are playing with fire. Their average margin of victory is only 4 points (not great for a 10-2 team) and two of their wins have required overtime. Minus the week one blip against Houston, Miami's three other losses have come against teams with a combined mark of 27-9 (Tennessee, Indianapolis and New England). This is a must-win game for the Dolphins while it is a nice-to-win for the Patriots. And one last dollop of icing on the cake: The Fins are 5-1 ATS on the road this year.
...THE DOG SAYS: Take Miami +3
BEN BURNS
3*GOW--MIAMI
1*VIKINGS
1*EAGLES
1*JETS
1*BENGALS UNDER
1*CAROLINA UNDER
1*BILLS OVER
From Earl Morgan:
Minnesota (-1.5) hosting Seattle, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis (+3.5) at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Miami (+3) at New England, 4:15 ET
DAVE COKIN
GOLD KEEY PLAYS
GIANTS
RAIDERS
Psychic Sports NFL WISE GUY
TAMPA BAY.
NET PROPHET
NFL:
Baltimore -3' over Cincinnati
Dallas/Philadelphia UNDER 36
Miami/New England UNDER 35
NY Jets/Buffalo UNDER 36
Carolina -1 over Atlanta
CHARGERS
Big Al Mcmordie
Game: San Diego Chargers at Detroit Lions Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: San Diego Chargers
Reason: San Diego is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog vs. losing teams who are off a SU and ATS win. With Detroit off that big upset of Green Bay on Thanksgiving, take Doug Flutie & Co. to pull the upset here.
Kevin O'Neill
Game: Oakland Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers
Reason: It is money burner vs. money burner when the Raiders (2-9-1 against the spread this year) travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers (11-17-2 to the number since the start of last season). After falling to the Bengals to essentially fall out of the race in the mediocre AFC North Division we can’t be certain we’ll get much of an effort from the Steelers. But after Bill Callahan sealed his fate in Oakland by referring to his Raiders as “the dumbest team in America” following their 22-8 self-immolation (kept three Bronco scoring drives alive with penalties, lost three fumbles) against visiting Denver last week. The Silver and Black were already on the verge of checking out on the season and several players, most pointedly Charles Woodson, were highly critical of Callahan for his comments. Callahan was right, of course, but a pro coach can’t say that about his team in the free agency era and expect it not to influence the club’s effort. The Raiders are merely playing out the string. This Steelers outfit doesn’t inspire confidence, but we’ll have to lay points as Oakland lays down. Kevin O’Neill hasn’t lost a game in an NFL guaranteed package here since November 15th. His three-game NFL Triple Plays are now 48-20-4 (better than 70% against the spread) since October of 2002. That’s not a 48-20 system or trend, that’s actual 48-20 handicapping performance. Get these three strong plays right now and pay only after you win.
Marc Lawrence
Game: Washington Redskins at New York Giants Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Washington Redskins
Reason: Battle of disappointing teams finds the Redskins seeking revenge from an overtime loss suffered earlier at home this season against the Giants. With Washington 25-10 ATS as road dogs of < 7 points, and the Giants 0-4 SU & ATS at home against losing teams this season, we’ll take the points in this division grudge rematch.
John Ryan
Game: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Dec 7 2003 4:15PM
Prediction: Miami Dolphins
Reason: I have a play on Miami to defeat New England in SU fashion. Miami's running game will be the difference and if the weather does turn foul the Miami running game will be even more effective. The main reason that the running game will so strong is QB Jay Fiedler's hot hand. His play has been great since coming back and replacing an largely ineffective Brian Griese and this forces defenses to play a more honest style having to respect the pass. Moreover, Fiedler has exploited man coverage with ease and NE can ill afford to get caught in man coverage too many times. I believe Norv Turner will look to emphasize the run and Williams and in the process slow the pace of the game in their favor. NE NT Washington is very good, but after him the NE defensive front is under sized and vulnerable to wearing out in the 4th quarter. Supporting this play is the fact that NEW ENGLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnovers since 1992. MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points since 1992. MIAMI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow less than 3 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. My Ai simulator projects an 78% probability that NE will not gain 100 yards rushing and should that occur Miami then has a 79% probability of winning ATS
Steve Merril
Game: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys
Reason: DALLAS COWBOYS +5 ½ (at Philadelphia) – 1:00 pm EST
Bill Parcells is on a current 41-17 ATS run as an underdog of +3 or more points and is also a long-term 60% ATS play after a SU loss. This season Dallas is a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS after a defeat and will be motivated after a poor showing on national TV last Thursday. Dallas also benefits from three extra days of practice and preparation for this game. The Cowboys also qualify as a defensive underdog, allowing just 250 total yards and 4.4 yards per play this season (versus teams averaging 5.1 yppl). The points are worth a look in a low-scoring game (O/U is just 35) and with gusty winds.
Larry Ness
Game: Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings Dec 7 2003 1:00PM
Prediction: Minnesota Vikings
Reason: The Vikings opened the season 6-0 SU and ATS but have since seen their season begin to slip away by going 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS the last six games. Fortunately for the Vikings, the Packers have not been able to put together consistent efforts and the Vikings enter Week 14 with a one-game lead in the NFC North. The Seahawks trail the Rams by one game in the NFC West but have all sorts of problems on the road. Although 7-0 at home, Seattle has dropped four consecutive road games allowing 33.3 ppg. In the Vikings, they face the NFL's No 1 ranked offense (385.4 ypg) that should be even more dangerous with RB Michael Bennett looking healthier than he has all season and coming off his best game of the year (98 yards last week vs St Louis). Seattle's offense is pretty dangerous itself with Shawn Alexander having an excellent season and Matt Hasselbeck finally getting his receivers to hold on to the ball. Seems almost no way this game won't be a shoot-out but even with all their problems lately, I still see the Vikings coming away with the win as the Seahawks just can't be trusted on the road. Take Minnesota.
