Hedge/Middle Opinions

Had 1.1/1 on Philly -5.5, 1.1/1 on NYG +5.5, and 1/2.6 parlayed from early last week. I then bought TB down to -2.5 at 3/1.36 after Philly covered, hoping for the 3,4, or 5 in NYG/TB. I normally do not do this and if I want off the second game, I get on TB in this example at something like 2.86/2.6, guaranteeing about .6 profit no matter what.

So, now I am at TB wins by 6 or more -.74, TB wins by 2 or less or NYG win +.65, TB wins by 3,4,5 +4.96

Reasoning for this game is that winner thinks they have a shot at playoffs (which they won't in my opinion), loser gone in my opinion, I see it tight. Opinions?

 

Took it a step further and went 2.12/1.5 NYG +7.5

So TB wins by 2 or less: +2.15 (1.5 less than leaving original alone)
TB wins 3,4,5,6,7: +6.51 (2.5 more than leaving original alone but now also have 6 and 7)
TB wins 8 or more: -2.86 (.76 greater loss than leaving original alone
NYG win: +2.15 (1.5 less than leaving original alone)

Prediction: TB in a blowout and I should have done what I normally would do and get the guaranteed .6 to .7 units.

 

No idea what I was thinking on the 6 and 7. They paid +.76 total (-2.1 on orignal NYG +5.5 and parlay, +1.36 on TB -2.5, +1.5 on NYG +7.5 = +.76). Had the middle though if not for the safety and I will play it like this again if opportunity arises.