Heatwave CFB 2022

[Heatwave]

Last year was rough in these postings, but had a great year otherwise, placing in Will Hill contest again. Will Hill has a limited subset of games available to choose, and I did very well on those, but very poorly on smaller conference games and over/unders. i will be adjusting my plays to try to capitalize on this.

As I was in the running, I did not post anything after mid-October. Any posts will be Saturday AM.


My threads and records for last 6 years.

2016: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...light=Heatwave
2017 :http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...light=Heatwave
2018: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...light=Heatwave
2019: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142423
2020: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1165130&highlight=Heatwave
2021: https://www.therx.com/threads/heatwave-2021-cfb-handicapping-thread.1184048/

2016 Record - 168-120 +$6,970 - 58.33%
2017 Record - 169-132 +$3,710 - 56.15%
2018 Record - 109-98 +$276 - 52.66%
2019 Record - 114-96 +$3,250 - 54.29%
2020 Record - 43-54 -$2,085 - 44.3%
2021 Record - 59-69 -$3,147 - 46.1%


WEEK 0 PLAYS:

Nebraska -13 -$550/$500
Nebraska Over 50 - $110/$100
Uconn/Utah State Over 59 - $110/$100
North Texas Pick - $220/$200
Wyoming Over 44 - $110/$100
Vanderbilt -8 - $550/$500

May add to Nebraska depending on line movement, and may add some Extra games once lines are posted.

HW

 

[indiana]

H/Wave.......always good to see your thought's, welcome back.....
BOL with all your action this season.....
always look for your thought's buddy....

 

[Knightrofins]

Good luck this season

 

[HotRocks]

Glad to see you back, looking forward to your picks

Let's Goooooo!!!!

 

[LSUpete]

Welcome back!

hey, did you see the Nebraska line dropped to 11.5 tonight? Any explanation for the sudden line movement?

 

[Heatwave]

Welcome back!

hey, did you see the Nebraska line dropped to 11.5 tonight? Any explanation for the sudden line movement?

A bit worried. Usually limits become higher closer to game, so some sharps wait until the limits raise to get action. Also, I think a few newsletters have released NW as a play. I may wait and get some more. I feel confident about Nebraska offense this year with old Texas QB - they should exploit a NW secondary that doesn't look any better than last year. Nebraska killed them last year, but they ran the ball at will. This year will have a different method, but I still think Neb wins big.

 

[LSUpete]

A bit worried. Usually limits become higher closer to game, so some sharps wait until the limits raise to get action. Also, I think a few newsletters have released NW as a play. I may wait and get some more. I feel confident about Nebraska offense this year with old Texas QB - they should exploit a NW secondary that doesn't look any better than last year. Nebraska killed them last year, but they ran the ball at will. This year will have a different method, but I still think Neb wins big.

Well, it dropped another point today. I'm wondering what happened and if it should influence my play on Nebraska. I have them at 13 and if it goes below 10, I think I might buy the dip and take Nebraska at 9.5.

 

[Heatwave]

Well, it dropped another point today. I'm wondering what happened and if it should influence my play on Nebraska. I have them at 13 and if it goes below 10, I think I might buy the dip and take Nebraska at 9.5.

We are on the same page. I am pretty sure a lot of sharps hit NW, but I am OK being the "square" side here.

 

[Heatwave]

Week 0 - 3-2-1 +$140 - $1650 risked - +8.48% ROI

Got out of Week 0 with some wins late. Glad line stayed put in Nebraska game.

FYI, lots of plays for me this week. Play at your own risk and what your wallet can handle. Will add extra games and bigger plays later as time permits.

WEEK 1:

THURSDAY PLAYS:

PENN STATE/PURDUE OVER 53 - $220/$200
LOUISIANA TECH +20 - $220/$200
LA TECH/MISSOURI OVER 61.5 - $110/$100

SATURDAY PLAYS:

SOUTH FLORIDA +12 - $550/$500
COLORADO STATE +30.5 - $550/$500
GEORGIA STATE +12.5 - $220/$200
RICE +32.5 - $110/$100
KENTUCKY -16 - $110/$100

MONDAY PLAY:

CLEMSON -22 - $550/$500

 

[HotRocks]

 

[indiana]

H/Wave.....BOL with your action this weekend buddy,.,,,
on S. Fla. and Clem. with you.......indy

 

[Heatwave]

THURSDAY ADDED EXTRA BOARD GAMES:

WAKE FOREST -31.5 - $115/$100
NORTHERN ARIZONA +24.5 - $115/$100
SAN JOSE STATE -22.5 - $115/$100

 

[Heatwave]

THURDAY NIGHT WAS PRETTY MUCH A WASH - 3-3 -$50

I will add 6 big board plays and 6 little board plays on Sat morning, bringing Saturday plays to 20 total.

FRIDAY:

WESTERN MICHIGAN/MICHIGAN STATE UNDER 54.5 - $330/$300
TCU/COLORADO OVER 58.5 - $110/$100
KANSAS -31.5 - $115/$100

SATURDAY ADDS:

COLORADO STATE/MICHIGAN OVER 61.5 - $110/$100
MEMPHIS/MISS STATE UNDER 57 - $220/$200
WESTERN KENTUCKY/HAWAII UNDER 67.5 - $110/$100

 

[LSUpete]

Hey man.....what do you know about Rice? I am thinking Lincoln Riley and his transfer QB are going to beat Rice by seven touchdowns.

 

[Heatwave]

Hey man.....what do you know about Rice? I am thinking Lincoln Riley and his transfer QB are going to beat Rice by seven touchdowns.

Playing Rice small - I like their secondary and am not a big fan of USC defense. I have a hard time laying 33.5 with a D I don't like, but of course, USC may have enough O to get it done. They are obviously a better team and athletically superior.

 

[Heatwave]

Last night a winner 2-1 +$190

SATURDAY ADDS:

BUFFALO +24 - $315/$300
NORTH TEXAS +10 - $345/$300
NC STATE -12 - $575/$500
BOWLING GREEN +23.5 - $440/$400
SOUTHERN MISS +3.5 - $330/$300
ALABAMA -42 - $550/$500

IOWA -10.5 - $115/$100
NAVY -13 - $115/$100
TEXAS A&M -34 - $115/$100
SE MO STATE +31.5 - $100/$100
UC DAVIS +14 - $100/$100
WISCONSIN -37 - $115/$100

OTHER SATURDAY PLAYS ALREADY POSTED (all still good at current lines)

SOUTH FLORIDA +12 - $550/$500 - down to -11.5
COLORADO STATE +30.5 - $550/$500 - up to 31
GEORGIA STATE +12.5 - $220/$200 - still 12.5
RICE +32.5 - $110/$100 - still 32.5
KENTUCKY -16 - $110/$100 - down to 15

 

[Heatwave]

WK	W	L	P	UP/DOWN	RISK	ROI
0	3	2	1	140	1650	8%
1	13	17	0	-880	7195	-12%
TOTAL	16	19	1	-740	8845	-8%

 

[Heatwave]

Week 2 not very good.

Week 3 Early Plays. Will add 6 bigger plays on Saturday AM, as well as some extra game plays. There are a lot of plays that were very close as well, but won't list here.

SOUTH CAROLINA/ARKANSAS OVER	53	220/200
TEXAS A&M	-19	440/400
COLORADO/AIR FORCE OVER	49.5	220/200
IOWA	-3.5	440/400
BOSTON COLLEGE/VA TECH UNDER	46	110/100
BAYLOR/BYU UNDER	53.5	110/100

 

[indiana]

H/wave....BOL with all your week 2 action buddy....
on A&M and Iowa with you.....look forward to your complete card.....indy

 

[sharky99]

Have a Great Year Heatwave, thanks for all your info!