Hawaii vs Fresno State 10/9/2010

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Fresno State is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Hawaii. Robbie Rouse is projected for 74 rushing yards and a 36% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Hawaii wins, Bryant Moniz averages 3.12 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.72 TDs to 0.67 interceptions. Alex Green averages 45 rushing yards and 0.57 rushing TDs when Hawaii wins and 40 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Fresno State has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FREST -9.5

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