Hawaii vs Boise State 11/6/2010

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 91% of simulations over Hawaii. Kellen Moore is averaging 309 passing yards and 2.7 TDs per simulation and Doug Martin is projected for 138 rushing yards and a 80% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9% of simulations where Hawaii wins, Bryant Moniz averages 2.59 TD passes vs 0.75 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.24 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Alex Green averages 55 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Hawaii wins and 49 yards and 0.42 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -22.5

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