My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating,& The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating
Green Bay Vs Dallas This is a tough call? Edges - Green Bay: 12-6 over last last 18 away playoff games. Dallas: 7-4 OVER last 11 home playoff games. With these two teams having gone 12-6 over in their last 18 meetings, including 9-1 over the last 10 games here, Whoever you bet on or against you have to admit this is going to be an outstanding game. The Cowboys defense compared to the beginning of the season has improved with Elliot and Dak. Dallas offensive line is very good by my stats which will help there running game against GB defense. However on the flip side, Dallas defense isn't to good. Dallas running game controlling clock and keeping Aaron Rodgers on the side lines longer than usual is key factor in this game.
I am factoring in my power ratings with stats Offensive points +1 GB.... Defensive points + 2 GB.... Total Yards in play +1 DAL...+ Rushing yards+2 DAL... My power rating Overall + 6 Dallas...DVAXN Group NFL Football Outsiders line for this game DAL - 3 1/2... I'm calling a close game goes to Dallas maybe 27-21 offense.. Dallas-4 [ buying a 1/2 point ] Thursday night bet]
Seattle vs Atlanta > These stats and information was taken many different media sources and Dunkel Index Stat Report >>> Seattle is scoring 27.3 points per game their past 3 games overall. Seattle is 47-23-2 ATS last 72 games on turf. Seattle is allowing only 15.5 points per game in dome games this year. Seattle is averaging 254.9 yards per game passing and 358.9 total yards per game this year. A key factor**Atlanta finished the season with an 11-5-0 SU and 10-6-0 ATS mark that includes and 8.4 winning margin and a +6.5 point differential versus the spread**Atlanta is 4-10 ATS last 14 home games. Atlanta is 0-6 ATS last 6 playoff games ..Atlanta is 1-4 ATS last 5 Divisional playoff games. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS last 6 home playoff games. My power rating factored in > ATL + 8 Offense.... SEA +4 Defense.... Rushing Yards +2 ATL... Total Yards in Play> +2 ATL....
My power rating Overall + 4 DVAXN Group NFL Football Outsiders line for this game +7 Atlanta & 1st half -3 Atlanta & -$230 Money Line public is over this match-up with Atlanta, But sharps are betting money line and so am I. Thursday Night Bet.
Pittsburgh vs Kanas City Pittsburgh Big Ben struggled on road this year and last week injury is not questionable, He will play, lets face it Big Ben takes a licking but keeps on ticking. LOL !!!. KC though will need to stop the running game of PIT. The Chiefs have had an extra week to get healthy and prepare for what they had to assume would be the Steelers, but this is still the kind of matchup that Bell is certainly capable of exploiting for big numbers. The key factor in this game is KC stopping Le'veon Bell and Antonio Brown??????
Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown and Le'veon Bell
are unstoppable on offense and KC does not have the talent in there defense to stop them.
KC is more run-centered offense and keep up scoring against Pittsburgh
.PIT is 8-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams that allow 350 or more yards per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. The Steelers are 9-1 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last two seasons. Kansas City is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 playoff games. The Steelers are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pittsburgh is 12-3-3 ATS in its last 18 January games. Kansas City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games, and 0-4 ATS in its last four playoff home games. My power rating factored in >PIT & KC Even on Offense.... PIT +1 Defense.... Rushing Yards PIT & KC Even... Total Yards in Play> +2 PIT....My power rating Overall + 3 Pittsburgh ... DVAXN Group NFL Football Outsiders line for this game +2 1/2 PIT My Bet + 1 1/2 Pittsburgh Thursday Night Bet.
Houston Vs New England
I don't like giving up 16 points in this game. Major mismatch on stats. Houston does have impressive defense but there offense is the question here. Road game will be tough with one best offenses in NFL. So I am betting 7 point 2 team teaser on this game with Pittsburgh> NE -10 & PIT + 8 1/2 Thursday Night Bet.
My Official Bets
Dallas -4 [ buying a 1/2 point
Atlanta & 1st half -3 Atlanta & -$230 Money Line Atlanta
My Bet + 1 1/2
Pittsburgh
7 point 2 team teaser on this game with Pittsburgh> NE -10 & PIT + 8 1/2
Hårr¥THëHÄT
Ps. I made these bets Thursday Night before I posted this thread on Rx. So lines might have moved up or down. Regardless these are my official bets. Information from my analysis are from many different media sources of my research.
*** Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication & motivation when you are handicapping games with betting success in the NFL
