GREAT World Series Future Value

D2bets · Oct 6, 2003

In case anyone actually cares about my strategy, here it is:

I have, let's call it, 1.1 units to win 53.5 units on the Cubs to win the WS (1 unit @50-1; .1 unit @ 35-1). Also have .02/3 units on Fla WS +150

I lost 1.8 units on the Braves already.

I will be risking 3.6 units on the Marlins at roughly +165 average (an estimate). Factoring in that WS as being worth 1 unit hedged if they go to WS, then I stand to net around 4 units if Fla beats the Cubs.

If the Cubs win, then I've lost/risked 6.5 units. I will put 18 units on the AL team netting me 30 units profit if the Cubs win it all. If they lose, then if the AL is -150 I would net 5.5 units profit (at -180 it's 3.5 units; at -120 it's 8.5 units).

That's da plan.

blueedwards · Oct 6, 2003

i'm not getting the a-1 sauce ready yet. i stand to win a pretty big number if the marlins win the w.s. (got it at 250:1 back in may). now i have to hedge against them in the nlcs and, because everyone and their brother is crawling out of the woodwork to bet the cubs, i had to lay -190.

i really think that the marlins will win this series but, what the hell do i know. i have watched the cubs all year and they are definately playing their best baseball. prior is lights out and wood is pitching the best he has in his life. zambrano looks to be out of gas and clement is just bad. borowski looked awesome against the braves. i would say if wood and borowski keep pitching like they did vs atlanta...cubs in 5 or 6. if they don't the marlins can easily beat them.

if the cubs win and the yankees lose, then i will buy the a-1 sauce and start looking for the best left foot recipes. should the cubs win it all, i WILL eat my left foot. hell, i might even take a picture of that gruesome sight and post it in this thread (since jazz taught me how).