LT
Hey Sooners,
Can you say rushing dog! I had them as a rushing dog also. Did you work the numbers on the Indiana/Iowa game? What bout the Ark/Aub game? Depending on the numbers used, I had Indy & Arkansas as the rushing dogs. Which brings me to my next question....
WHEN FIGURING OUT THE RUSHING DOG, DO YOU USE THE "ALL" GAMES OR "ROAD" AND "HOME" GAME YPC???
Your insight would be greatly appreciated.
as always... aloha.
fade...It's based on all games home and away..But not the games against division 2 teams..Those games are thrown out of the equation... Something that you may understand about the running dogs system and my Southern Miss play that maybe others don't really get by just looking at the general stats about these teams is that the Southern Miss rushing defense numbers are somewhat skewed against them since they have played the number #1 and #11 rushing teams in the nation. This is the kind of data that goes into this system. A team who plays all primary passing teams are going to look good with their rushing defense compared to a team who has played primarily rushing teams..In SM's case, very good rushing teams. This is why I like this play. In theory these two teams aren't as far apart as their scores appear to indicate. Like I've told eveybody, the running dogs system isn't perfect, because the 20 year old players, teams and coaches involved in these games aren't perfect...But we do the best we can..And if can hit 60% for the year we are doing very good. As for the Indiana/Iowa game, Indiana is the running dogs in this game and I've already got a one unit play on them. Arkansas never did make my running dogs list. But they might still be the borderline running dogs. I like Arkansas anyway in that game...Auburn is an offensive mess..They may not score enough points to even get to the 17 point spread...Good luck
I like the fact that Northwestern is playing very good defense. They've sacked the QB 17 times this year..And MSU QB Hoyer has looked very vulnerable lately. And he isn't having a good year. Ringer will probably get his yards in this game. But I think the NW defense is going to cause turnovers in this game when the QB gets involved. Also NW QB Bacher has had a hand injury, which was why they struggled some against Ohio. But he is now 100% with the bye week..And NW will be coming into this game fresh. Where MSU is once again hitting the road after playing 3 tough games in a row..I just like the fresher undefeated team playing at home. I think this is a good angle..I also don't think there is as much talent difference between these teams as they would leave you to believe. If there was that much difference NW wouldn't have beaten MSU 2 out of the last 3 years...I'll take the home running dogs with the better QB....Good luck:toast:Gosooners, what are your thoughts on the northwestern game? can you give me your insight as to why you picked them? Javon ringer just scares me but then again i trust your judgment
GL w/your plays Sooners. Thanks a bunch for your insight. I like how you look into every angle of every game. that's what I try to do. whenever I see a game or team that I like. I use the lowest and ugliest stats that that team has because they couldn't have played any worse than that game. Then I compare their opp's best game's stats and use my formula. If the game comes out to where I see value, then that's where it's at.
Goodluck GS, Bosie has some guys down for the game on defense I was reading. Personally I don't like S. Miss, I was on UTEP last week. I know the eagle's defense is bad, but from watching the game last week, they couldn't get off the field on 3rd downs and the kicker was brutal. Fletcher had a huge game but if bosie can hold him within reason the Bronco's should be able to march up and down the field with a good balence of run and pass.
