Good Poster's Hoops - Play #28

[DonMarco]

We lost the under tonight and the record moves to 20-7.

My prediction was waaaay off. Maybe that 0.5 pt win last night was some kind of a sign. Maybe I should have taken a day off

Anyways, the play #28 is : NYL@CHA un 126.5

Note : It opened at 125.5 @Olympic some 20 minutes ago, and while I was looking around to see if any other book has the overnight line, the Olympic moved it to 126.5.

So, either they thaught it was a bad line, or someone really hammered the over 125.5.

I will go with my numbers and play the under 126.5. Hate to do this kind of things, but as my good american friend THEERODFATHER OF SPORTS once said, <it is between me and the man. bet at your own risk >

Have a nice day and good luck.

Your G.P.Don

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

I got to admit I am going to hammer it, got to pay these baseball loses of mine off somehow.

LET'S KICK THE MANS ASS!!!!!!!!!!

 

[DonMarco]

Pat

Good luck to us buddy. I was looking closely at your baseball picks this year, just like always, and I really think that your uncaracteristic season is due to the # of plays you make this year. Just like you, I like to play 1-2 games a day, and I was really surprised when I saw you picking a lot of games on a daily basis this year. Cut the number of plays down and I'm sure you will show some great profit very soon. You are too good to have a losing record, especially in bases.

Once again, good luck.

Rainy day here so no work for me. Here is the writeup for today's game.

First of all, I just saw that the total in this nyl@cha game went down to 125.5. As I said last night, it opened at 125.5, then was quickly moved to 126.5, and by this morning it went down to 125.5. I have no idea what happened, but I'm stil a little bit scared here because I don't like betting against such a line movements.

Anyways, I'm sticking with my numbers.

These two teams played each other two times this season and both games went under the total (6 of last 8 as well) even thaugh in each and every game NYL was on a <over> streak entering the contest with charlotte. Charlotte as well had played some high scoring affaires prior to their games vs NY, but their hth matchups stil went under the total.

Now they play their third hth game of the season, and NY is 2-0 under (115) in last 2 in this spot, while Charlotte is 4-0 under in last 4 where playing against an opponent for either third or fourth time this season.

New York is 5-1 under in their last 6 games over all, and Charlotte is 13-3 under in last 16 vs Eastern opponents. Charlotte's latest <overs> are primarly due to the West conference trip, where they played high scoring teams that they do not know all that well.

Charlotte is also 6-0 under when playing well rested like today, and NY is 3-0 under when travelling with short rest.


Finally, I really think Charlotte has a nice chance of winning this game, as they try to revenge two straight loses vs NY. They are a very good home team ( 9-2 su, 7-4 ats home vs 1-5 su/ats last 6 on the road) and NY is a very bad road team ( 1-9 su/ats away vs 10-4 su, 9-5 ats home ). Last year NY was 0-3 su/ats when trying to win 3 straight same season games vs their opponents, and they lost all three games as favs, including one game vs Charlotte. Charlotte is also much better team when playing well rested ( 7-0 su, 6-1 ats home )

In its SU wins, Charlotte is 10-4 under, and in its loses NY is 4-0 under in last 4.

After going with the under in some very high totals this week, I'm going with a relly low one today. Lets see what happens.

Good luck everyone.

Your G.P.Don

 

[TheGeneral+]

GL Don

 

[DonMarco]

The under was a winner.

The record moves to 21-7

Love ya all,

Your G.P.Don

 

[TheGeneral+]

Congrats Don.

 

[blueedwards]

donny, i hopped on the train late but i still like where its headed.

 

[drunkguy]

About my only winning bet today...

thanks for keeping me off suicide watch DM

 

[raiders72001]

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

CHA CHING$$$$$$$

Another bad day so this is nice, thanks Don. Good advice too in baseball. I am pressing and I know it's bad, just can't stop myself it seems. I want to get my money back and it's aggravating to be losing. My big play today was KC and they are up 2-0 all game only to give up 3 runs in the bottom of the 9th to lose another one. Tampa of all teams. Incredible how things run.

 

[jwunderdog]

Drunkguy you had the same kind of day I had.

Pat,

No reason to press there are two months left in this years reg. season,plus the rest of your life to bet baseball. Just do solid handicapping as always. Don't worry about your record at the RX, It is your long term record with "your Man" that counts.

GL

 

[wilheim]

Back on track - Good Luck today. Thanks.

wil.