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SU

PLAY: The Dodgers are 31-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 200+ favorite after a game in which they scored first.

team = Dodgers and LGS and line<=-200 and p:SF>0 and date >= 20040930



PLAY: The Dodgers are 40-5 SU as a 135+ favorite when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits.

team = Dodgers and line<=-135 and p:hits <= 6 and p:L and SG > 1 and date >=20140720



FADE: The White Sox are 0-20 SU as a road 130-plus dog off a home game when playing a team that has a better record and it is after the All-Star break.

team = White Sox and A and line>=130 and p:H and WP < o:WP and AASB and date >= 20070731



PLAY: The Phillies (273-253 +19.8% ROI)

AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2



PLAY: The Angels (542-379 +10.0% ROI)

(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)



PLAY: The Orioles (54-27 +22.1% ROI)

H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]



-----------

OU

UNDER: Reds/Pirates (464-232-37 +25.7% ROI)

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)



OVER: The Yankees are 11-0 OU in the first game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they were shut out over the first 6 innings.

team = Yankees and FGS and p:H and p:F and p:S6 = 0 and date >= 20130603



________________

SU

Dodgers
Red Sox
Orioles

OU

Under Reds
over Yanks​
 

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So I assume then you want two of those SU plays above. Shoot them to me at your leisure, they're night games so there's plenty of time.

~T~
 

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I cannot see Dodgers winning today.

Yeah, I see what you're looking at. That being said, if your playing the Dodgers, gotta be -1+ anyway and the risk/reward sucks, this could easily be a one run game in either direction. Sunny, don't bring this one, I no like.

~T~
 

Biz

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Handicapper
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These systems are awful. For example:

H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]

8 is good, Why not 8.5?? Or 9, 9.5, 10??? 10.5 is good, but not 11, but 11.5 is good.

Also, systems need to be proven over a period of time. Taking random data points that have no correlation to each other, and then taking a limited sample size (in this case half a season) proves nothing. Its strictly a random occurrence with zero predictive value.

SDQL puts out a daily newsletter, and also posts daily videos using this same type of analysis. They will show you that Team X is 0-13 after this, or Team B is 0-14 O/U after this. Many times a team will suffer their first loss on these "systems".

A good "system" needs to make sense, the data points need to fit together, and it needs to show a history of profitability over several years. None of these qualify.
 

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SDQL 8/4


SU

PLAY: The Braves and Cubs (106-41 +24.4% ROI)

H and 4.8>=tA(runs)>=4.3 and 5.2>=(o:STDSERA)>=4.2 and o:conference=NL and 4.2>=(STDSERA)>=3.7 and conference=NL and 2007<=season and SG<4



PLAY: The Cubs are 20-1 SU in the first game of a series off a home game when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.55 on the season and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Cubs and FGS and p:H and o:STDSERA>3.55 and AASB and season >= 2014



PLAY: The Red Sox are 27-2 SU since Apr 25, 2013 as a 200+ favorite after they held a multiple-run lead last game.

team = Red Sox and line<=-200 and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20130425



PLAY: The Pirates are 15-2 SU as a favorite off a home shutout win.

team = Pirates and F and p:H and po:runs = 0 and date >= 20130521



FADE: The Yankees are 1-12 SU as a 125+ dog after they had five or fewer hits

team=Yankees and line>=125 and p:hits<=5 and date>=20130800



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OU

UNDER: The Nationals are 0-12 OU as a road dog after they had six or fewer hits and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Nationals and AD and p:hits <= 6 and AASB and date >= 20130923


________________
SU

Braves
Cubs 20-1
Red Sox 27-2
Pirates 15-2
Indians 12-1

OU

Nationals/Cubs Under 0-12 Under
___________________________________


________________________
Twins 1-9 L9 vs a LH starter. outscored 57-26

Pirates 7-3 L10 at Home vs a LH starter.

White Sox lost last 9 vs a LH starter.

Teams on at least 3 str8 Unders are 0-8 L8, 6-1-1 Under.(Braves, Yankees, Dodgers, Padres, Royals, Twins.)​
 

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Friday big winners Sal on Braves, Red Sox, Indians, Pirates, Under Nats, loser on Cubs.

5-1

On to big Saturday.

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SU

PLAY: The Indians (55-23 +23.9% ROI)

H and tA(W)>=.45 and p:margin>=2 and tS(runs@team and season,N=6)=30 and po:BL=0 and 120>=line>=-195 and conference=o:conference and total<=10 and SG>1 and month>4 and 2008<=season



PLAY: The Giants (77-55 +24.9% ROI)

division = o:division and HD and line>=100<=145 and SG=2 and p:L and p:HF and WP<50



PLAY: The Astros (106-60 +8.2% ROI)

HF and line<-130 and line>-160 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10



PLAY: The Astros (542-380 +9.8% ROI)

(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)



FADE: The Twins are 0-13 SU as a dog after a game as a home dog when they won by one run in their starters last start and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Twins and D and p:HD and s:margin = 1 and AASB and date >= 20090902



FADE: The White Sox are 0-10 SU vs a Left Handed starting pitcher since June 26th, 2017.

team=White Sox and o:STL and date >=20170626



PLAY: The Red Sox are 20-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.

team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005



PLAY: The Rockies are 18-2 SU as a 130-plus favorite off a home game when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two and it is not a series opener.

team = Rockies and SG > 1 and line<=-130 and p:H and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and AASB and date >= 20090906



FADE: The Rockies (408-349 -8.3% ROI)

p:margin = 1 and pp:margin = 1 and F



PLAY: The Royals (31-9 +36.7% ROI)

p:HL and p
redirect
and HF and day=Saturday and season>=2016



-----------

OU

UNDER: The Rangers are 0-12 OU after a game as a road favorite when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Rangers and p:AF and s:L and s:BL > 0 and AASB and date >= 20120715



OVER: The Mets are 10-0 OU as a 140-plus dog when seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Mets and SG > 1 and line>=140 and p:runs = 0 and AASB and date >=20040916



________________

SU All ML plays

Indians
Giants
Astros
Rangers
Royals
Red Sox

OU

Rangers Under
over Mets

8 plays. Let's go 5-3 or better.
 

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5-2 SF wins! Your welcome.

On to Sunday

SU

FADE: The Brewers are 0-18 SU as a dog in the last game of a series after shutting out their opponent.

team=Brewers and D and po:runs=0 and LGS and date>=20040926

SU:0-18 (-3.28, 0.0%)avg line: 138.6 / -152.8on / against: -$1,800 / +$1,800ROI: -100.0% / +64.9%

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</tbody>



PLAY: The Red Sox are 22-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.

team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005

SU:22-1 (4.96, 95.7%)avg line: -239.4 / 207.4on / against: +$1,950 / -$1,980ROI: +35.2% / -86.1%
RL:18-3 (3.69, 85.7%)avg line: -118.7 / 105.9on / against: +$1,373 / -$1,477ROI: +54.7% / -67.8%

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</tbody>



PLAY: The Red Sox are 28-2 SU since Apr 25, 2013 as a 200+ favorite after they held a multiple-run lead last game.

team = Red Sox and line<=-200 and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20130425

SU:28-2 (3.73, 93.3%)avg line: -225.8 / 200.5on / against: +$2,350 / -$2,395ROI: +34.6% / -79.8%
RL:22-8 (2.23, 73.3%)avg line: -113.2 / 101.5on / against: +$1,271 / -$1,441ROI: +37.2% / -45.5%

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</tbody>



FADE: The Astros (123-231 -29.3% ROI)

(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7

SU:123-231 (-1.02, 34.7%)avg line: 107.7 / -120.4on / against: -$11,983 / +$10,408ROI: -29.3% / +22.4%

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PLAY: The Giants (25-5 +48.5% ROI)

HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

SU:25-5 (2.30, 83.3%)avg line: -128.6 / 118.3on / against: +$1,876 / -$1,928ROI: +48.5% / -63.9%
RL:19-11 (1.00, 63.3%)avg line: 152.0 / -173.1on / against: +$1,807 / -$2,162ROI: +57.3% / -40.9%

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</tbody>



-----------

OU

OVER: Both teams off rest this season. (68-44 +15.1% ROI)
(Mariners/Royals)

H and rest=1 and o:rest=1 and season=2017
OU:68-44-7 (1.02, 60.7%)avg total: 8.8over / under: +$1,992 / -$2,950ROI: +15.1% / -22.7%

<tbody>
</tbody>

________________

SU All ML bets

Rays 18-0
Red Sox 22-1 & 28-2
Blue Jays
Giants 25-5
 

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5-2 SF wins! Your welcome.

On to Sunday

SU

FADE: The Brewers are 0-18 SU as a dog in the last game of a series after shutting out their opponent.

team=Brewers and D and po:runs=0 and LGS and date>=20040926

SU:0-18 (-3.28, 0.0%)avg line: 138.6 / -152.8on / against: -$1,800 / +$1,800ROI: -100.0% / +64.9%

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</tbody>



PLAY: The Red Sox are 22-1 SU as a favorite by more than 190 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games and it is not a series opener.

team = Red Sox and SG > 1 and line<-190 and o:streak <= -4 and season >= 2005

SU:22-1 (4.96, 95.7%)avg line: -239.4 / 207.4on / against: +$1,950 / -$1,980ROI: +35.2% / -86.1%
RL:18-3 (3.69, 85.7%)avg line: -118.7 / 105.9on / against: +$1,373 / -$1,477ROI: +54.7% / -67.8%

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</tbody>



PLAY: The Red Sox are 28-2 SU since Apr 25, 2013 as a 200+ favorite after they held a multiple-run lead last game.

team = Red Sox and line<=-200 and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20130425

SU:28-2 (3.73, 93.3%)avg line: -225.8 / 200.5on / against: +$2,350 / -$2,395ROI: +34.6% / -79.8%
RL:22-8 (2.23, 73.3%)avg line: -113.2 / 101.5on / against: +$1,271 / -$1,441ROI: +37.2% / -45.5%

<tbody>
</tbody>



FADE: The Astros (123-231 -29.3% ROI)

(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7

SU:123-231 (-1.02, 34.7%)avg line: 107.7 / -120.4on / against: -$11,983 / +$10,408ROI: -29.3% / +22.4%

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PLAY: The Giants (25-5 +48.5% ROI)

HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL

SU:25-5 (2.30, 83.3%)avg line: -128.6 / 118.3on / against: +$1,876 / -$1,928ROI: +48.5% / -63.9%
RL:19-11 (1.00, 63.3%)avg line: 152.0 / -173.1on / against: +$1,807 / -$2,162ROI: +57.3% / -40.9%

<tbody>
</tbody>



-----------

OU

OVER: Both teams off rest this season. (68-44 +15.1% ROI)
(Mariners/Royals)

H and rest=1 and o:rest=1 and season=2017
OU:68-44-7 (1.02, 60.7%)avg total: 8.8over / under: +$1,992 / -$2,950ROI: +15.1% / -22.7%

<tbody>
</tbody>

________________

SU All ML bets

Rays 18-0
Red Sox 22-1 & 28-2
Blue Jays
Giants 25-5

3-1 Sal. Nice winners.
 

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FADE: The Twins are 0-11 SU since June 15, 2007 with no rest in the first game of a series coming off a one-run, non-shutout win as a favorite.

team=Twins and rest=0 and FGS and p:W and p:margin=1 and op:runs>0 and p:F and date>=20070615

SU:0-11 (-4.91, 0.0%)avg line: 100.8 / -121.6on / against: -$1,511 / +$1,401ROI: -100.0% / +83.9%
RL:1-10 (-5.05, 9.1%)avg line: 111.3 / -126.1on / against: -$1,002 / +$961ROI: -79.4% / +66.6%

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</tbody>



UNDER: The Orioles are 0-12-1 OU since Sep 05, 2014 with no rest on the road in the first game of a series after they had more than one multiple-run innings last game.

team=Orioles and rest=0 and A and FGS and p:MRI >= 2 and date>=20140905

OU:0-12-1 (-2.38, 0.0%)avg total: 8.2over / under: -$1,275 / +$1,200ROI: -91.6% / +81.7%

<tbody>
</tbody>


UNDER: The Cardinals are 0-9 OU since Jun 30, 2017 after they scored 6+ runs.

team=Cardinals and p:runs>=6 and date>=20170630

OU:0-9-0 (-3.17, 0.0%)avg total: 8.9over / under: -$965 / +$900ROI: -100.0% / +88.7%

<tbody>
</tbody>
 

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[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif][/FONT]

SU

PLAY: The Pirates are 14-0 SU since Sep 23, 2013 in the first game of a series as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers.

team = Pirates and F and p:HF and 5 <= p:pU and SG = 1 and date >= 20130923



PLAY: The Pirates are 12-3 since Apr 21, 2014 in the first game of a series at home off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers.

team = Pirates and 5 <= p:pU and FGS and H and p:H and date >= 20140421



PLAY: The Cubs are 22-1 SU in the first game of a series as a 140-plus favorite off a home game when playing a team that has a worse record and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Cubs and FGS and line<=-140 and p:H and WP > o:WP and AASB and date >=20100726



PLAY: The Cubs are 20-2 SU in the first game of a series off a home game when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.55 on the season and it is after the All-Star break.

team = Cubs and FGS and p:H and o:STDSERA>3.55 and AASB and season >= 2014



-----------

OU

OVER: The Giants are 16-3 OU since October 24th, 2012 in the first game of a home series after scoring 6+ runs at home.

team = Giants and H and 6 <= p:runs and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20121024



________________

SU

Pirates
Cubs
Brewers

OU

Cubs/Giants Over
Orioles/Angels Under
Cardinals/Royals Under
___________________________________





 

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Wednesday
[h=2]
icon1.png
[/h]
Reds 3-18 L21 vs a LH starter, Under 7-3 L10.

SU:3-18 (-2.81, 14.3%)avg line: 129.6 / -141.6on / against: -$1,497 / +$1,437ROI: -68.8% / +46.7%

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