to win outright: These are played at bet365 because of their cashout option.
wesley bryan 250-1
excruciatingly frustrating for the very few who get behind him, there is definitely a big performance in the locker of wesley bryan. Long, but wild, off the tee, bryan should enjoy the expanses of fairway at tpc craig ranch, and if he can hit the short stuff more often than not then his efficient iron game can thrive. Four of his last eight rounds have been played at 68 or better, so bryan is doing plenty right at the moment and looks to be a great value proposition. We’re going to play him to win outright for 0.2 units and also to finish top-5 at ⅕ the price at 50-1 (total risk is 0.4 units).
patton kizzire 140-1
another player who has been knocking on the door of better performances lately is patton kizzire. T9 at the texas open, he opened with a round of 66 at the valspar championship and a disappointing final round of 77 at the wells fargo prevented kizzire from building on a promising start. When he connects four rounds together, kizzire should go close, and tpc craig ranch could be an ideal venue for the two-time pga tour champion. He is long but erratic off the tee – some extra room might help – but he is strong when dialed in with his irons and always seems to putt well, so kizzire looks to be a more-than-fair price. Kizzare ranks 23rd on tour in sg: Putting and 46th in birdie average. We’re going to bet him to win and for a top-5 finish also at ⅕ the price, which is 35-1 (total risk is 0.4 units).
sepp straka 150-1
now in his third season on the pga tour, there is a display of majestic ball-striking from sepp straka that we see from time-to-time. His iron is usually nothing short of extraordinary, and if he can find that form and marry it to his typically very good driving, straka can far outperform the expectations of others here. In his first two seasons, he went a collective 23-for-50 but still qualified for the playoffs in each. In 2020-21, he’s 16-for-21 with a pair of top 10’s among five top 25s. He arrived at tpc craig ranch having strung together six paydays and sits a comfortable 92nd in the fedexcup. There isn’t much gloss on the back of his trading card but it’s also devoid of a significant weakness. His price doesn’t reflect his talent, as he has a better chance of winning than many pros in the 60 to 100-1 range. We’re going to bet him to win and for a top-5 finish at ⅕ the price, which is 37.5-1 and of course to win for 0.2 units also. (total risk is 0.4 units).
john catlin 150-1
john catlin is not a known name but keep him on your radar because he’s very likely to be known soon. That’s the cost of winning so often. When he debuted on the pga tour at the 2018 cimb classic, he appeared as a recent three-time champion on the asian tour. He delivered on the promise with a t22 in kuala lumpur. He went on to make another five starts on the pga tour that season but his name wasn’t mentioned once because he didn’t fare too well. Later in 2019, he prevailed in thailand, a place he now calls home. Since a four-month break due to the pandemic in 2020, he’s picked off three victories on the european tour, the most recent of which the austrian golf open in mid-april. Two weeks ago, he finished fifth at the tenerife open. The at&t byron nelson opens a fortnight of competition as he’s poised for his major championship debut at kiawah island next week. He’ll be among the leaders in fairways hit at tpc craig ranch, which cannot be a bad thing. Dude is good but nobody knows about him. Let’s see if we can sneak one in. We’re going to bet him to win and for a top-5 finish at ⅕ the price, which is 37.5-1 and of course to win for 0.2 units also. (total risk is 0.4 units).
